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U.S. 2025/26 Rice Production Forecast Is Raised 0.3 Million Hundredweight to 208.8 Million
There are several revisions this month to the 2025/26 U.S. rice balance sheet. On the supply side, the all-rice production forecast is raised by 313,000 hundredweight (cwt) from last month to 208.8 million due to a 1-percent increase in harvested area more than offsetting a 77-pound per acre reduction in the yield. The revised harvested area and yield forecasts are reported by USDA, National Agricultural Statistical Service (NASS). Despite this month’s upward adjustment in the rice production forecast, U.S. rice production in 2025/26 is still projected to decline 6 percent from 2024/25. Carryin is raised by 3.4 million cwt to 53.9 million, the highest since 1986/87. Imports are raised by 1.0 million cwt to a record 50.7 million, with long grain accounting for all of the upward revision. These supply-side revisions result in a 4.7-million cwt increase in 2025/26 total rice supplies to a record 313.4 million cwt.