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Rice - Market Outlook

See the latest Rice Outlook report.

U.S. 2025/26 Rice Production Forecast Is Raised 3.5 Million Hundredweight to 208.5 Million

There are several supply and use revisions to the U.S. 2025/26 rice balance sheet this month. On the supply side, the production forecast is raised 3.5 million hundredweight (cwt) to 208.5 million, as an upward revision in the harvested area forecast more than offset a reduced yield. The all-rice import forecast is lowered 1.0 million cwt to 49.7 million, still 2.5 percent above a year earlier and the highest on record, with long grain accounting for all of the downward revision. On the 2025/26 use side, the all-rice domestic and residual use forecast is raised 2.0 million cwt to 167.0 million cwt, with long-grain accounting for all of the upward revision. In addition, the 2025/26 all-rice export forecast is increased 4.0 million cwt to 97.0 million, with medium- and short-grain accounting for the bulk of the upward revision.