Note: The analysis of international baseline projections for global trade through 2035 was not conducted in 2026 and will not be published.
ERS Agricultural Baseline Database web pages provide multiple resources enabling users to navigate the 10-year agricultural projections, which are developed by the USDA, Interagency Agricultural Projections Committee. The domestic commodity projections are the focus of the Agricultural Baseline Database web pages. The agricultural baseline projection data are located in File Downloads below. An expanded set of international projections are the focus of the International Baseline Data web pages.
The annually updated projections are first made available in the early-release tables (typically released in November) for selected domestic commodity and macroeconomic data, and published in the more comprehensive USDA Agricultural Projections report the following February. In addition to supply and demand projections for major U.S. farm commodities, the report provides additional projections for U.S. farm income and U.S. agricultural trade, as well as projections for specialty crops.
Visualization: U.S. Agricultural Baseline Projections and Custom Queries provide projection information for major U.S. field crop commodities (barley, corn, oats, rice, sorghum, soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, upland cotton, and wheat) and livestock commodities (beef, chicken, dairy, egg, pork, and turkey). The visualization tool uses projection data from the most recent early-release tables, in combination with historic data, while the custom queries tool allows users to access data from the most recent and/or historic projections.
The Agricultural Baseline Projections Topic Page provides information regarding the baseline and a listing of baseline-related products.
The U.S. Agricultural Baseline Database also provides a Documentation page that includes information on the scope/coverage of the data, methods used to create projections, the strength and limitations of the projections, related resources, and a recommended citation for the projections.
*Note: The most recent projections are based on conditions as they existed upon the release of the November 2025 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report.