Rural Areas Lag Urban Areas in College Completion
Despite gains in high school completion rates, rural (nonmetropolitan) areas continue to lag urban (metropolitan) areas in post-high school educational attainment. The most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2008-2012 American Community Survey reveals that the share of the rural working-age population (adults ages 25-64) with a college degree or higher was 14 percentage points lower than in urban areas, and the rural-urban gap in the share of the adult population with a 4-year degree has grown by 2 percentage points since 2000.
Educational attainment—an indicator of the stock of human capital in a community or region—is a factor affecting the growth and prosperity of local economies in both rural and urban areas. The most recent recession has underscored that fact; rural counties with higher levels of average educational attainment had lower unemployment rates during the recession and faster job growth during the recovery than other rural counties. The effects of educational attainment go beyond employment outcomes; when ranked by their share of working-age population with a college degree in 2007-2011, those rural counties in the top 25 percent experienced population growth, on average, while other rural counties experienced population decline.
Increasing college completion rates and attracting in-migrants with college degrees may be a challenge for many rural communities. Household incomes are lower in rural areas, which could be a barrier for rural students wishing to attend and complete college, especially from persistently poor areas. For rural people who do earn 4-year college degrees, urban areas offer higher earnings and a wider range of potential jobs than are typically available in rural areas. The result is that many rural youth who leave their community for college do not return.
The economic incentive to leave rural communities can be offset by family ties, natural amenities, or other perceived benefits to living in rural places. Also, several industries that depend heavily on a highly educated workforce, such as the education and health services sectors, are becoming major employers in many rural communities. Rural employment in the education and health services sector grew during the most recent recession and recovery period, even with a decline in public sector employment during the recovery period since June 2009. If this trend continues, growing demand for skilled labor in these industries could provide incentives for the large and growing share of rural people with some college education to complete their college degree, and for others to attend college. It could also draw in college-educated in-migrants to rural communities seeking jobs and scenic amenities.
Rural America at a Glance, 2014 Edition , by Lorin Kusmin, USDA, Economic Research Service, November 2014
Rural Employment Trends in Recession and Recovery , by Thomas Hertz, Lorin Kusmin, Alexander Marré, and Timothy Parker, USDA, Economic Research Service, August 2014
“College Education in the Post-Recession Rural Economy,” by Alexander W. Marré, in Choices Magazine, vol. 29, no. 2 (2nd Quarter), November 2014