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    1
Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices

2
3
4
5
6
The U.S. Organic Handling Sector in 2004: Baseline Findings of the Nationwide Survey of Organic Manufacturers, Processors, and Distributors

7
8
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

9
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

Wheat Yearbook

Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

10
11
12
Livestock and Meat Trade Data

Oil Crops Outlook

Cotton and Wool Outlook

Rice Outlook

U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Season-Average Price Forecasts

13
Wheat Outlook

Feed Outlook

14
Meat Price Spreads

15
Vegetables and Melons Yearbook

16
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook

17
18
19
20
Wheat Data

Feed Grains Database

21
22
23
Monthly Milk Cost of Production

24
25
26
27
Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook

28
29
Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade

Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook

30
31
             


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This Month at ERS - [May 1, 2008 - May 31, 2008]

Thursday, May 1, 2008
Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices

World market prices for major food commodities such as grains and vegetable oils have risen sharply to historic highs of more than 60 percent above levels just 2 years ago. Many factors have contributed to the runup in food commodity prices. Some factors reflect trends of slower growth in production and more rapid growth in demand, which have contributed to a tightening of world balances of grains and oilseeds over the last decade. Recent factors that have further tightened world markets include increased global demand for biofuels feedstocks and adverse weather conditions in 2006 and 2007 in some major grain and oilseed producing areas. Other factors that have added to global food commodity price inflation include the declining value of the U.S. dollar, rising energy prices, increasing agricultural costs of production, growing foreign exchange holdings by major food importing countries, and policies adopted recently by some exporting and importing countries to mitigate their own food price inflation.



Tuesday, May 6, 2008
The U.S. Organic Handling Sector in 2004: Baseline Findings of the Nationwide Survey of Organic Manufacturers, Processors, and Distributors

The organic sector has expanded rapidly over the last decade, as retail sales of organic food increased to $15.7 billion in 2006. As sales have grown, so have the number and types of outlets selling organic products. USDA’s Economic Research Service surveyed certified organic intermediaries in the United States to collect information on basic characteristics of the sector in 2004, as well as its marketing and procurement practices. This report uses the survey findings to present a baseline view of the organic handling sector. A large share of organic handlers are mixed operations that handle both organic and conventional products, and most began as conventional firms that converted to handling organic products. Most organic products are sold domestically, with nearly three-quarters sold nationally or regionally. More than three-quarters of the firms are independent, and most are small. Handlers seek suppliers with a reputation for providing high-quality products. Most transactions between handlers and suppliers occur under contract, reportedly so that handlers can procure ingredients essential for their businesses.



Thursday, May 8, 2008
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

Statistical Indicators previously published in Agricultural Outlook addressing a broad spectrum of agriculture-related issues. Includes commodity and food prices, general economic indicators, government program expenditures, farm income estimates, and trade and export statistics.



Friday, May 9, 2008
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
[Release Schedule]

Issued monthly, WASDE provides the most current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances for major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton, and U.S. supply and use data for sugar and livestock products.

Released at 8:30 a.m. ET.



Friday, May 9, 2008
Wheat Yearbook

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for wheat.



Friday, May 9, 2008
Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

The latest U.S. agricultural trade data are now available from ERS. This new data product announces USDA's monthly release of calendar year, fiscal year, year-to-date, and monthly value of U.S. agricultural exports, imports, and trade balance.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Livestock and Meat Trade Data

The Livestock and Meat Trade Data Set contains monthly and annual data for imports and exports of live cattle, hogs, sheep, and goats, as well as beef and veal, pork, lamb and mutton, chicken meat, turkey meat, and eggs. The tables report physical quantities, not dollar values or unit prices. Data on beef and veal, pork, and lamb and mutton are on a carcass-weight-equivalent basis. Breakdowns by country are included.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Oil Crops Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for oil crops (primarily soybeans and products), including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes information on cottonseed, peanuts, sunflowerseed, tropical oils, corn oil, and animal fats.

Timely version released by 4 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Cotton and Wool Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for cotton and wool, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes data on raw fibers and textiles.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Rice Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for rice, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains information on U.S. rough, milled, and long-, medium-, and short-grain rice.

Timely version released by 4 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Provides a monthly update of year-to-date quantities and values of U.S. agricultural exports and imports. Also provides data on leading destination countries for exports and import source countries.

Released by 4 p.m. ET.



Monday, May 12, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Season-Average Price Forecasts

A futures-price forecasting model is used to provide season-average price forecasts for corn, soybeans, and wheat. In addition to the monthly forecasts for prices received, the model computes a forecast for the counter-cyclical payment rate for each commodity. The 2002 Farm Act provides for counter-cyclical payments when prices are below specified levels.



Tuesday, May 13, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Wheat Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for wheat, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains data and information on U.S. wheat by class.

Timely version released by 9 a.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Tuesday, May 13, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Feed Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for feed grains, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Focuses on corn; also contains information on sorghum, barley, oats, and hay.

Released by 9 a.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Wednesday, May 14, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Meat Price Spreads

This data set provides monthly average price values, and the differences among those values, at the farm, wholesale, and retail stages of the production and marketing chain for selected cuts of beef, pork, and broilers. In addition, retail prices are provided for beef and pork cuts, turkey, whole chickens, eggs, and dairy products.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Thursday, May 15, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Vegetables and Melons Yearbook
[Release Schedule]

Contains data important to the vegetables and melons industry.

Released by 4 p.m. ET.



Friday, May 16, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Timely livestock, dairy, and poultry information, focusing on current and forecast production, price, and trade statistics for each of the sectors.

Released by 9:00 a.m. ET. Supporting tables available later in the month after release of key livestock and animal product data. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-LDPM-4042).



Tuesday, May 20, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Wheat Data

This data product contains statistics on wheat - including the five classes of wheat: hard red winter, hard red spring, soft red winter, white, and durum - and rye. Includes data published in the monthly Wheat Outlook and previously annual Wheat Yearbook. Data are monthly, quarterly, and/or annual depending upon the data series.



Tuesday, May 20, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Feed Grains Database

Interactive database that contains statistics on four feed grains (corn, grain sorghum, barley, and oats), foreign coarse grains (feed grains plus rye, millet, and mixed grains), hay, and related items. Tables previously published annually in the Feed Yearbook are available and updated continuously as data are added to the database. Custom queries also allow users to retrieve historical data.



Friday, May 23, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Monthly Milk Cost of Production

Monthly milk cost of production estimates are available by State from January 2003 to the previous month.

Released by 4:00 p.m. ET.



Tuesday, May 27, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for beet and cane sugar, and high fructose corn syrup.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies of the newsletter can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-SSS-4033).



Thursday, May 29, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade
[Release Schedule]

Offers the latest forecast of value and volume of U.S. farm exports, by commodity and region, as well as the agricultural trade balance for the coming year. Keeps readers abreast of how U.S. agricultural trade stacks up in a global market.

Released at 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-AES-4035).



Thursday, May 29, 2008 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Provides current intelligence and forecasts the effects of changing conditions in the U.S. fruit and tree nuts sector. Topics include production, consumption, shipments, prices received, and more.

Bigger Crops Forecast for Most Stone Fruit and Almonds in 2007 Than A Year Ago

Based on forecasts from USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service, the United States expects to harvest more stone fruit in 2007 than a year ago, including peaches, cherries, and apricots. Bigger crops in California, which have been driving down grower prices, are behind most of the growth. NASS also forecast the 2007/08 California almond crop to be 19 percent bigger than last season and if realized, the biggest crop ever.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter (and yearbook) availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification. Printed copies of the newsletter (and yearbook) can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-FTS-4036).



23 releases of 23 products this month on 13 different days.

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Updated date: March 31, 2006