Market Outlook

See the the latest Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook report.

Supplies in U.S. Citrus Market Decline

The 2020/21 U.S. citrus crop is forecast to be 7.21 million tons, down 7.3 percent from the final output for the 2019/20 season. Declines in overall production can mostly be attributed to smaller orange crops in Florida and smaller lemon and navel orange crops in California. Navel orange production in California is expected to decrease 5 percent from last season. Citrus production in Florida decreased 16.5 percent from last year, with a 17.5 percent decline in orange production and a 5.4 percent decrease in grapefruit production. Decreased production of oranges and lemons is expected to result in increased imports and higher prices compared to last year. Forecast numbers for Texas are updated quarterly and losses due to Winter Storm Uri (February 2021) will likely be reflected in the forthcoming April 2021 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Citrus Forecast Report.