Market Outlook

See the the latest Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook report.

U.S. Production of Major Noncitrus Fruit Forecast to Rise in 2021

The 2021/22 marketing year is underway for many noncitrus fruit crops. USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) forecast 2021 apple, grape, peach, cranberry, and sweet and tart cherry production up but forecast pear production down. For many crops, the impact of record high heat in some areas and California’s on-going drought is uncertain. Producer prices fluctuated throughout 2021 but are generally slightly above 2017–19 levels. The 2020/21 U.S. citrus season finished with declines in all citrus commodities except California tangerines, likely contributing to higher citrus prices for the season. U.S. tree nut supplies in 2021/22 are forecast down from last year’s record. Smaller crops of almonds and walnuts due to severe weather and drought conditions are likely to increase grower prices for these crops.