Publications

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  • Wheat Outlook: July 2013

    WHS-13G, July 15, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields

    FDS-13G-01, July 26, 2013

    Weather during the growing season is critical for corn and soybean yields. Models for U.S. corn and soybean yields provide estimates of the effects of weather on yields for those crops.

  • Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook: July 2013

    FTS-356, July 26, 2013

    Lighter cherry supplies in California and Washington State are supporting upward pressure on 2013 domestic cherry prices. Mix of hot and cold weather hindered early-season peach production from its full potential.

  • Developing Countries Dominate World Demand for Agricultural Products

    Amber Waves, August 05, 2013

    According to USDA’s baseline projections, developing country demand for agricultural products is expected to increase faster than their production in 2013-22. Thus, these countries will account for 92 percent of the total increase in world meat imports, 92 percent of the increase in world grains and oilseeds imports, and nearly all of the increase in world cotton imports.

  • High RIN Prices Suggest Market Factors Likely To Constrain Future U.S. Ethanol Expansion

    Amber Waves, August 05, 2013

    Declining use of gasoline in the U.S. combined with market constraints to future growth in the blending of biofuel have resulted in U.S. ethanol use falling short of the Federal Renewable Fuel Standard, which specifies minimum annual levels of biofuel consumption in the U.S. through 2022. For many years, U.S. ethanol use exceeded mandates; now, however, ethanol mandates exceed use.

  • Wheat Outlook: August 2013

    WHS-13H, August 14, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle

    Amber Waves, August 14, 2013

    From 2005 to 2010, expiring corn, soybeans, and wheat futures contracts routinely settled at prices significantly higher than their cash market counterparts. Findings show that the observed non-convergence was an unintended consequence of market design rather than speculative trading.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: August 2013

    OCS-13H, August 14, 2013

    Rising competition, smaller crop gains seen limiting U.S. soybean demand.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: August 2013

    AES-79, August 29, 2013

    U.S. agricultural exports in fiscal 2014 are forecast down from the previous year's record-high. Exports are expected to fall $5 billion to $135 billion. Imports in fiscal 2014 are expected reach a record $113 billion.

  • Wheat Outlook: September 2013

    WHS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: September 2013

    OCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    Each month,the Oil Crops Outlook analyzes the major changes and events in the world market for oilseeds and oilseed products.

  • Rice Outlook: September 2013

    RCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The September 2013 Rice Situation & Outlook report will contain projections for the 2013/14 U.S. and global rice markets. The report is done 12 times a year and relies on the most current World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.

  • Summer Weather Most Important for Corn and Soybean Yields

    Amber Waves, October 24, 2013

    To measure the impact of weather on crops, ERS developed statistical models for corn and soybean yields based on 25 years of historical data. July tends to be the most important month for determining corn yields since many of the critical stages of crop development, particularly pollination, typically occur during that month. Weather in both July and August are important for soybean yields.

  • Assessing the Growth of U.S. Broiler and Poultry Meat Exports

    LDPM-23101, November 08, 2013

    The United States is the world's second largest broiler meat exporter, and exports are a valuable source of income for the industry. ERS examines factors affecting the growth in broiler meat exports, focusing on several major markets.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: November 2013

    OCS-13K, November 13, 2013

    U.S. Soybean Exports Forecast Boosted by Strong Sales, Improved Crop.

  • Rice Outlook: November 2013

    RCS-13K, November 13, 2013

    The 2013/14 rough-rice season-average price forecasts were raised for all rice and by class.

  • Wheat Outlook: November 2013

    WHS13K, November 13, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: November 2013

    LDPM-233, November 15, 2013

    Lower Feed Grain Prices Improve Margins.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade

    AES-80, December 02, 2013

    U.S. agricultural exports to fall 3 percent in fiscal 2014. Imports to rise 5 percent to record high.

  • Wheat Outlook: December 2013

    WHS-13L, December 12, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets is analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.