Publications

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  • Southeast Asia's Rice Surplus

    RCS-12L-01, December 31, 2012

    Southeast Asia dominates the world's rice trade as the leading source of rice exports and the second-largest importing region. This region's rice surplus of exports over imports has grown steadily over the past decade and the USDA projects that it will remain large over the next decade.

  • Rice Outlook: December 2012

    RCS-12L, December 12, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global rice markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates report.

  • Potential Farm-Level Effects of Eliminating Direct Payments

    EIB-103, November 16, 2012

    A number of Farm Act proposals call for ending the direct payment program. ERS analysis suggests that for the majority of farms receiving direct payments, this would not result in substantial decline in financial well-being.

  • Rice Outlook: November 2012

    RCS-12K, November 13, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global rice markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Rice Outlook: October 2012

    RCS-12J, October 12, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global rice markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Rice Outlook: September 2012

    RCS-12I, September 13, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global rice markets is analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Rice Outlook: August 2012

    RCS-12H, August 13, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global rice markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Rice Outlook: July 2012

    RCS-12G, July 12, 2012

    There were several major revisions to the 2012/13 U.S. rice balance sheet this month. On the supply side, the 2012/13 carryin was increased 5.0 million cwt to 34.5 million cwt. A higher area estimate raised the 2012/13 production forecast 8.0 million cwt to 191.0 million cwt. In contrast, 2012/13 imports were lowered 0.5 million cwt to 21.5 million cwt. On balance, these revisions resulted in a 12.5-million cwt increase in the 2012/13 total supply forecast to 247.0 million cwt.

  • Rice Outlook: June 2012

    RCS-12F, June 13, 2012

    There were several revisions this month to both the 2011/12 and 2012/13 U.S. rice balance sheets. For 2011/12, total exports were raised 4.0 million cwt to 101.0 million, with milled rice accounting for all of the increase. On the 2011/12 supply side, imports were lowered 0.5 million cwt to 20.0 million. These revisions resulted in a 4.5-million cwt reduction in the 2011/12 ending stocks forecast to 29.5 million cwt.

  • Rice Outlook: May 2012

    RCS-12E, May 11, 2012

    The total supplies of U.S. rice in 2012/13 are projected at 239.0 million hundred weight (cwt), a decline of 6 percent from a year earlier and the smallest since 2000/01. A big decline in carryin and a slightly smaller crop are projected to more than offset higher imports.

  • Rice Outlook: April 2012

    RCS-12D, April 11, 2012

    The first survey-based indication of 2012/13 U.S. rice plantings peg area at 2.56 million acres, down 5 percent from a year earlier and the smallest since 1987/88. Medium-grain accounts for all of the indicated decline. Growers indicated smaller plantings in all reported States except Louisiana and Missouri.

  • Rice Outlook: March 2012

    RCS-12C, March 12, 2012

    This month, USDA made several small revisions to the U.S. 2011/12 rice balance sheet. On the supply side, total imports were raised 1.0 million hundredweight (cwt) to 20.0 million cwt, up 5 percent from a year earlier and the first year-to-year increase since 2007/08.

  • Rice Outlook: February 2012

    RCS-12B, February 10, 2012

    There were no U.S. supply-side revisions this month. The total 2011/12 U.S. rice supply remains forecast at 252.5 million cwt, 15 percent below the year-earlier record. The U.S. rice crop remains estimated at 185.0 million cwt, down 24 percent from the year-earlier record. Beginning stocks of all-rice remain calculated at 48.5 million cwt, 33 percent larger than a year earlier.

  • Rice Outlook: January 2012

    RCS-12A, January 13, 2012

    This month, the 2011/12 U.S. rice crop estimate was lowered 3.1 million cwt to 185.0 million cwt, down 24 percent from the year-earlier record and the smallest U.S. rice crop since 1998/99. Production estimates were lowered for both long-grain and combined medium- and short-grain rice.

  • Rice Outlook: December 2011

    RCS-11L, December 12, 2011

    There were no revisions this month to the U.S. supply and use balance sheet. Total supplies U.S. rice remain forecast at 255.5 million cwt, 14 percent below the year-earlier record. The 2011/12 crop remains forecast at 188.1 million cwt, down almost 23 percent from the year-earlier record.

  • Identifying Overlap in the Farm Safety Net

    EIB-87, November 22, 2011

    ERS offers a conceptual framework for identifying overlap in farm safety net programs, including how to define and measure overlap. The study also suggests a direction for further analysis.

  • International Food Security Assessment, 2011-21

    GFA-22, July 15, 2011

    ERS assesses the food security situation in 77 developing countries, including estimates for 2011 and projections for the next decade. The report is the latest in an annual series.

  • Why Have Food Commodity Prices Risen Again?

    WRS-1103, June 28, 2011

    The report describes the factors that have contributed to the large and rapid increase in agricultural prices during the past year. The report focuses particularly on food commodity prices-which have risen 60 percent since June 2010.

  • Consolidation and Structural Change in the U.S. Rice Sector

    RCS-11D01, April 21, 2011

    This report examines how the structure of the U.S. rice industry has evolved over the past two decades, including a reduction in the number of farms, increased average farm size, and the shifting concentration of rice production away from higher-cost production regions. The authors analyze the economic factors driving these structural changes and explore the implications of those changes for market efficiency and competitiveness of the U.S. rice industry.

  • Selected Trade Agreements and Implications for U.S. Agriculture

    ERR-115, April 15, 2011

    ERS examines possible impacts of recently implemented free trade agreements (FTAs) where the United States is not a partner, and potential effects of pending U.S. agreements with Korea, Colombia, and Panama.