Publications

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  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: May 2015

    AES-86, May 28, 2015

    May 2015 USDA forecasts for U.S. agricultural trade in FY 2015 are discussed in this report. Exports to fall $12 billion in 2015; imports to reach record high.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: May 2015

    LDPM-251, May 18, 2015

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for May 2015 analyzes economic impacts of events and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates report for beef, pork, lamb, poultry, eggs, and dairy production and trade.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: April 2015

    LDPM-250, April 15, 2015

    The Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook for April 2015 analyzes economic impacts of events and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates report for beef, pork, lamb, poultry, eggs, and dairy production and trade.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: March 2015

    LDPM-249, March 16, 2015

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for March 2015 analyzes animal product markets based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates report for beef, pork, poultry, lamb, and dairy production and trade.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: February 2015

    AES-85, February 19, 2015

    February 2015 USDA forecasts for U.S. agricultural trade in FY 2015 are discussed in this report. Exports to fall $11 billion in 2015; imports to reach new record high.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: February 2015

    LDPM-248, February 17, 2015

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for February 2015, describes developments and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates report for beef, pork, lamb, poultry, eggs, and dairy production and trade.

  • USDA Agricultural Projections to 2024

    OCE-151, February 11, 2015

    USDA's 10-year food/farm sector projections cover major agricultural commodities, trade, and aggregate indicators of the U.S. farm sector, like farm income. Population and income growth are drivers of long-term demand for farm commodities.

  • Japan, Vietnam, and the Asian Model of Agricultural Development and Trade

    Amber Waves, February 02, 2015

    Fast-developing Vietnam is following in the footsteps of Japan and its model of export-oriented industrialization. Vietnamese agricultural imports are rising fast and appear to be following the historical growth pattern of Japan’s imports. Trade policy in both countries has protected agricultural imports, selectively favoring imported inputs relative to consumer-ready products.

  • Livestock Forage Disaster Program Payments Increase in 2014

    Amber Waves, February 02, 2015

    ERS’s current farm income forecast for 2014 includes $4.3 billion in Livestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP) payments, an almost 700 percent increase from total LFP payments made during the previous 5 years combined. LFP, which is accounted for in farm income accounting under “ad hoc and disaster assistance payments,” is expected to be over 40 percent of total direct payments.

  • Changes in U.S. Dairy Commercial Exports and Domestic Commercial Disappearance

    Amber Waves, February 02, 2015

    Traditionally, the U.S. dairy industry was driven by the domestic market. Since about 2004, U.S. dairy exports have grown substantially, primarily for products with high skim milk solids content, such as nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder. Domestic consumption has had greater growth for products with relatively high milk-fat content, such as cheese.

  • Effect of Media on Consumer Demand for Lean Finely Textured Beef Muted

    Amber Waves, February 02, 2015

    This study highlights the effect of heightened media coverage on consumer demand for lean finely textured beef based products. The study found that consumers initially responded to the perceived food scare by making changes to their meat and beef consumption, but their behavioral response was temporary.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: January 2015

    LDPM-247, January 16, 2015

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for January 2015 analyzes animal product markets based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report for beef, pork, poultry, lamb, and dairy production and trade.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: December 2014

    LDPM-246, December 16, 2014

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for December 2014 describes events and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report for beef, pork, lamb, poultry, eggs, and dairy production and trade.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: December 2014

    AES-84, December 02, 2014

    December 2014 USDA forecasts for U.S. agricultural trade in FY 2015 are discussed in this report. Exports to fall $9 billion in 2015; imports to reach new record.

  • Milk Production Continues Shifting to Large-Scale Farms

    Amber Waves, December 01, 2014

    Production has shifted to larger farms in most agricultural commodity sectors over the last two decades. This is especially true for dairy farms, where a major transformation of the sector has reduced the number of dairy farms by nearly 60 percent over the past 20 years, even as total milk production increased by one-third.

  • Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook: November 2014

    LDPM-245, November 17, 2014

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for November 2014 describes events and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates Report for beef, pork, poultry, and dairy production and trade.

  • Greater Heat Stress From Climate Change Could Lower Dairy Productivity

    Amber Waves, November 03, 2014

    In 2010, heat stress is estimated to have lowered annual milk production for the average dairy by about $39,000, totaling $1.2 billion in lost production for the entire U.S. diary sector. Additional heat stress from climate change is expected to lower milk production for the average dairy by 0.60-1.35 percent in 2030 relative to what it would have been in the absence of climate change.

  • Agriculture in the Trans-Pacific Partnership

    ERR-176, October 28, 2014

    The proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership is expected to increase the value of intraregional agricultural trade by about 6 percent in 2025, and increase U.S. agricultural exports to the region by 5 percent, compared with the baseline.

  • Japan's Agri-Food Sector and the Trans-Pacific Partnership

    EIB-129, October 28, 2014

    The proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership would increase agricultural exports to Japan from TPP partners, especially in the rice, beef, and dairy sectors, but would have only a marginal impact on Japan's agricultural production.

  • Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook: October 2014

    LDPM-244, October 17, 2014

    The Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook for October 2014 describes events and outlook based on projections from USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Report for beef, pork, poultry, and dairy production and trade.