Publications

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  • Oil Crops Outlook: August 2013

    OCS-13H, August 14, 2013

    Rising competition, smaller crop gains seen limiting U.S. soybean demand.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: July 2013

    OCS-13G, July 15, 2013

    Soybean acreage expansion, better yields are seen swelling 2013/14 stocks.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: June 2013

    OCS-13F, June 14, 2013

    Strong soybean meal prices buoy U.S. processors.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: May 2013

    OCS-13E, May 14, 2013

    Oilseed Production Gains for 2013/14 Could Outpace Global Consumption.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: April 2013

    OCS-13D, April 12, 2013

    Prices ease after USDA reports larger than expected soybean stocks.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: March 2013

    OCS-13C, March 12, 2013

    Moderating soybean meal and oil prices herald declining production.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: February 2013

    OCS-13B, February 12, 2013

    Each month,the Oil Crops Outlook analyzes the major changes and events in the world market for oilseeds and oilseed products.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: January 2013

    OCS-13A, January 15, 2013

    Each month, the Oil Crops Outlook analyzes the major changes and events in the world market for oilseeds and oilseed products.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: December 2012

    OCS-12L, December 12, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: November 2012

    OCS-12K, November 13, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: October 2012

    OCS-12J, October 12, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: September 2012

    OCS-12I, September 13, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: August 2012

    OCS-12H, August 13, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade

  • Oil Crops Outlook: July 2012

    OCS-12G, July 12, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: June 2012

    OCS-12F, June 13, 2012

    Export shipments of U.S. soybeans for 2011/12 are forecast up 20 million bushels this month to 1.335 billion. And the 2011/12 soybean crush is forecast 15 million bushels higher this month to 1.66 billion based on higher demand for soybean meal. Higher soybean demand would further reduce U.S. season-ending stocks for 2011/12 to 175 million bushels, compared to last month's forecast at 210 million. Despite reductions in 2012/13 use, the smaller carryover would reduce season-ending soybean stocks to 140 million bushels-a level that would cover only 16 days of use.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: May 2012

    OCS-12E, May 17, 2012

    Using a long-term yield trend of 43.9 bushels per acre and an estimated harvested area of 73 million acres, the U.S. soybean crop for 2012 is projected up 5 percent to 3.205 billion bushels. Fast early shipments are forecast to raise U.S. soybean exports for 2012/13 to a record 1.505 billion bushels. Season-ending soybean stocks are projected at 145 million bushels-near an all-time low as a percentage of total use. Another record high could be set in 2012/13 for the U.S. soybean farm price at $12 to $14 per bushel.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: April 2012

    OCS-12D, April 11, 2012

    USDA's Prospective Plantings report in March indicated that U.S. farmers intend to reduce the acreage sown to soybeans this year by 1.4 percent to 73.9 million acres as expected returns for corn were more attractive. Also, growers intend this spring to increase U.S. sunflowerseed acreage by 17 percent to 1.8 million acres, canola by 45 percent to a U.S.-record 1.56 million acres, and peanuts by 25 percent to 1.4 million acres.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: March 2012

    OCS-12C, March 12, 2012

    Based on shrinking prospects for South American crops, USDA's forecast of the 2011/12-average soybean price received by U.S. farmers fell to $11.40-$12.60 per bushel from $11.10-$12.30 last month. Similarly, USDA raised its forecast of the season-average price for soybean meal to $310-$340 per short ton from $290-$320 last month.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: February 2012

    OCS-12B, February 10, 2012

    Despite a dimmer outlook for South American soybean production, U.S. exports for 2011/12 are expected to be unchanged at 1.275 billion bushels as an anticipated upswing in sales may only narrow a large gap with last year's pace of shipments. Domestic processing margins for soybeans have not appreciably improved, either, so the 2011/12 crush forecast did not change from 1.615 billion bushels. Without changes in forecast U.S. soybean demand, the expectation for season-ending stocks is unchanged at 275 million bushels.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: January 2012

    OCS-12A, January 13, 2012

    The final estimate of the 2011 U.S. soybean crop was 3.056 billion bushels based on a harvested acreage of 73.6 million acres and an average yield of 41.5 bushels per acre. USDA lowered its 2011/12 forecast of soybean exports by 25 million bushels this month to 1.275 billion while soybean crushing is forecast down 10 million bushels to 1.615 billion. Based on that lower use, season-ending soybean stocks on August 31 are expected at 275 million bushels.