Publications

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  • Assessing the Growth of U.S. Broiler and Poultry Meat Exports

    LDPM-23101, November 08, 2013

    The United States is the world's second largest broiler meat exporter, and exports are a valuable source of income for the industry. ERS examines factors affecting the growth in broiler meat exports, focusing on several major markets.

  • Summer Weather Most Important for Corn and Soybean Yields

    Amber Waves, October 24, 2013

    To measure the impact of weather on crops, ERS developed statistical models for corn and soybean yields based on 25 years of historical data. July tends to be the most important month for determining corn yields since many of the critical stages of crop development, particularly pollination, typically occur during that month. Weather in both July and August are important for soybean yields.

  • Wheat Outlook: September 2013

    WHS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: September 2013

    OCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    Each month,the Oil Crops Outlook analyzes the major changes and events in the world market for oilseeds and oilseed products.

  • Rice Outlook: September 2013

    RCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The September 2013 Rice Situation & Outlook report will contain projections for the 2013/14 U.S. and global rice markets. The report is done 12 times a year and relies on the most current World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: August 2013

    AES-79, August 29, 2013

    U.S. agricultural exports in fiscal 2014 are forecast down from the previous year's record-high. Exports are expected to fall $5 billion to $135 billion. Imports in fiscal 2014 are expected reach a record $113 billion.

  • Wheat Outlook: August 2013

    WHS-13H, August 14, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle

    Amber Waves, August 14, 2013

    From 2005 to 2010, expiring corn, soybeans, and wheat futures contracts routinely settled at prices significantly higher than their cash market counterparts. Findings show that the observed non-convergence was an unintended consequence of market design rather than speculative trading.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: August 2013

    OCS-13H, August 14, 2013

    Rising competition, smaller crop gains seen limiting U.S. soybean demand.

  • Developing Countries Dominate World Demand for Agricultural Products

    Amber Waves, August 05, 2013

    According to USDA’s baseline projections, developing country demand for agricultural products is expected to increase faster than their production in 2013-22. Thus, these countries will account for 92 percent of the total increase in world meat imports, 92 percent of the increase in world grains and oilseeds imports, and nearly all of the increase in world cotton imports.

  • High RIN Prices Suggest Market Factors Likely To Constrain Future U.S. Ethanol Expansion

    Amber Waves, August 05, 2013

    Declining use of gasoline in the U.S. combined with market constraints to future growth in the blending of biofuel have resulted in U.S. ethanol use falling short of the Federal Renewable Fuel Standard, which specifies minimum annual levels of biofuel consumption in the U.S. through 2022. For many years, U.S. ethanol use exceeded mandates; now, however, ethanol mandates exceed use.

  • Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields

    FDS-13G-01, July 26, 2013

    Weather during the growing season is critical for corn and soybean yields. Models for U.S. corn and soybean yields provide estimates of the effects of weather on yields for those crops.

  • Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook: July 2013

    FTS-356, July 26, 2013

    Lighter cherry supplies in California and Washington State are supporting upward pressure on 2013 domestic cherry prices. Mix of hot and cold weather hindered early-season peach production from its full potential.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: July 2013

    OCS-13G, July 15, 2013

    Soybean acreage expansion, better yields are seen swelling 2013/14 stocks.

  • Wheat Outlook: July 2013

    WHS-13G, July 15, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Complex Array of Factors Influence World Sugar Prices

    Amber Waves, July 01, 2013

    With the world sugar price serving as the new floor for domestic prices, it becomes more important to understand the dynamics of world prices. Brazil is the world’s leading sugar producer and, over the long term, world sugar prices are determined by production costs in Center/South Brazil, as well as the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Brazilian real.

  • Feed Outlook: June 2013

    FDS-13F, June 14, 2013

    Rains have delayed planting the 2013 corn crop resulting in a projected yield decline of 1.5 bushels per acre to 156.5 bushels per acre.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: June 2013

    OCS-13F, June 14, 2013

    Strong soybean meal prices buoy U.S. processors.

  • Wheat Outlook: June 2013

    WHS-13F, June 14, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • World Raw Sugar Prices: The Influence of Brazilian Costs of Production and World Surplus/Deficit Measures

    SSSM-297-01, May 29, 2013

    Brazil is the world's leading sugar producer and, over the long term, world sugar prices are determined by production costs in Center/South Brazil, as well as the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Brazilian real .