Publications

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  • Feed Outlook: January 2014

    FDS-14A, January 14, 2014

    The January 2014 Feed Grains Outlook report contains projections for the 2013/14 U.S. and global feed markets based on the most current World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.

  • Wheat Outlook: January 2014

    WHS-14A, January 14, 2014

    The January 2014 outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets is analyzed based on the latest projections contained in USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Recent Convergence Performance of Futures and Cash Prices for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

    FDS-13L-01, December 30, 2013

    From 2005 to 2011, there were growing discrepancies between expiring futures prices and cash prices for wheat, corn, and soybeans--a problem known as non-convergence. Changes to futures contracts have improved convergence since 2011.

  • Livestock, Dairy, & Poultry Outlook: December 2013

    LDPM-234, December 16, 2013

    Exports and Demand Dynamics Provide Price Support.

  • Wheat Outlook: December 2013

    WHS-13L, December 12, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets is analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Feed Outlook: December 2013

    FDS-13L, December 12, 2013

    Imports Bump Up Feed Grain Supplies as Ethanol and Exports Boost Use and Stocks Slip.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: December 2013

    OCS-13L, December 12, 2013

    An Abundance of U.S. Soybean Supplies Propels 2013/14 Exports.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade

    AES-80, December 02, 2013

    U.S. agricultural exports to fall 3 percent in fiscal 2014. Imports to rise 5 percent to record high.

  • Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: November 2013

    LDPM-233, November 15, 2013

    Lower Feed Grain Prices Improve Margins.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: November 2013

    OCS-13K, November 13, 2013

    U.S. Soybean Exports Forecast Boosted by Strong Sales, Improved Crop.

  • Rice Outlook: November 2013

    RCS-13K, November 13, 2013

    The 2013/14 rough-rice season-average price forecasts were raised for all rice and by class.

  • Wheat Outlook: November 2013

    WHS13K, November 13, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report

  • Assessing the Growth of U.S. Broiler and Poultry Meat Exports

    LDPM-23101, November 08, 2013

    The United States is the world's second largest broiler meat exporter, and exports are a valuable source of income for the industry. ERS examines factors affecting the growth in broiler meat exports, focusing on several major markets.

  • Summer Weather Most Important for Corn and Soybean Yields

    Amber Waves, October 24, 2013

    To measure the impact of weather on crops, ERS developed statistical models for corn and soybean yields based on 25 years of historical data. July tends to be the most important month for determining corn yields since many of the critical stages of crop development, particularly pollination, typically occur during that month. Weather in both July and August are important for soybean yields.

  • Wheat Outlook: September 2013

    WHS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: September 2013

    OCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    Each month,the Oil Crops Outlook analyzes the major changes and events in the world market for oilseeds and oilseed products.

  • Rice Outlook: September 2013

    RCS-13I, September 16, 2013

    The September 2013 Rice Situation & Outlook report will contain projections for the 2013/14 U.S. and global rice markets. The report is done 12 times a year and relies on the most current World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.

  • Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: August 2013

    AES-79, August 29, 2013

    U.S. agricultural exports in fiscal 2014 are forecast down from the previous year's record-high. Exports are expected to fall $5 billion to $135 billion. Imports in fiscal 2014 are expected reach a record $113 billion.

  • Wheat Outlook: August 2013

    WHS-13H, August 14, 2013

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle

    Amber Waves, August 14, 2013

    From 2005 to 2010, expiring corn, soybeans, and wheat futures contracts routinely settled at prices significantly higher than their cash market counterparts. Findings show that the observed non-convergence was an unintended consequence of market design rather than speculative trading.