Publications

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  • Oil Crops Outlook: December 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12L, December 12, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Potential Farm-Level Effects of Eliminating Direct Payments

    Jennifer Ifft, Cynthia Nickerson, Todd Kuethe, and Chengxia You

    EIB-103, November 16, 2012

    A number of Farm Act proposals call for ending the direct payment program. ERS analysis suggests that for the majority of farms receiving direct payments, this would not result in substantial decline in financial well-being.

  • Wheat Outlook: November 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12K, November 14, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: November 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12K, November 13, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Wheat Outlook: October 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12J, October 15, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: October 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12J, October 12, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Feed Outlook: September 2012

    Thomas Capehart, Edward Allen, and Jennifer K. Bond

    FDS-12I, September 14, 2012

    Market analysis of domestic and international feed grain markets.

  • Wheat Outlook: September 2012

    Olga Liefert

    WHS-12I, September 14, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: September 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12I, September 13, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Feed Outlook: August 2012

    Thomas Capehart, Edward Allen, and Jennifer K. Bond

    FDS-12H, August 14, 2012

    Market analysis of domestic and international feed grain markets.

  • Wheat Outlook: August 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12H, August 14, 2012

    The outlook for both the U.S. and global wheat markets are analyzed based on the latest projections contained in the World Agricultural Supply and Uses Estimates report.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: August 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12H, August 13, 2012

    ERS -- working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies -- conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade

  • Feed Outlook: July 2012

    Thomas Capehart and Edward Allen

    FDS-12G, July 13, 2012

    U.S. feed grain supplies for 2012/13 are projected sharply lower this month with lower production for corn on lower yields. Extremely hot weather and drought result in a 20- bushel-per-acre decline in the projected corn yield to 146 bushels per acre reducing projected production to 13.0 billion bushels, compared with 14.8 billion bushels last month.

  • Wheat Outlook: July 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12G, July 13, 2012

    Projected U.S. wheat supplies for 2012/13 are raised 5 million bushels, with higher estimated beginning stocks more than offsetting lower forecast production. Beginning stocks were reported in the June 29 Grain Stocks report 15 million bushels above last month's projection. Feed and residual disappearance, seed use, and exports are all lowered slightly for 2011/12. Production for 2012/13 is reduced 10 million bushels as a 14-million-bushel reduction in winter wheat is only partly offset by a higher forecast for spring wheat.

  • Oil Crops Outlook: July 2012

    Mark Ash

    OCS-12G, July 12, 2012

    ERS--working closely with the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and other USDA agencies--conducts market analysis and provides short- and long-term projections of U.S. and world agricultural production, consumption, and trade.

  • Implications of an Early Corn Crop Harvest for Feed and Residual Use Estimates

    Paul Westcott and Jerry D. Norton

    FDS-12F-01, July 03, 2012

    An early corn harvest-before the August 31 end of the previous marketing year-creates an overlap of supply-and-use data between the old and new marketing years that can alter the patterns of corn use and ending stocks, with implications for official USDA projections and estimates.

  • Wheat Outlook: June 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12F, June 14, 2012

    Projected U.S. wheat supplies for 2012/13 are lowered 51 million bushels with reduced carryin and lower forecast winter wheat production. Beginning stocks are lowered 40 million bushels with a 10-million-bushel increase in food use and a 30-million-bushel increase in exports for 2011/12. The increase in 2011/12 food use reflects higher-than-expected flour milling during the January-March quarter as reported by the North American Millers' Association. Exports are increased based on the strong pace of U.S. shipments during the final weeks of the old-crop marketing year.

  • Feed Outlook: June 2012

    Thomas Capehart, Edward Allen, and Michael Jewison

    FDS-12F, June 14, 2012

    The 2012/13 U.S. corn balance sheet is unchanged this month. Corn ethanol use for 2011/12 is projected up 50 million bushels this month to 5,050 million as recent ethanol production data have been stronger than expected. While slowing from its peak in December 2011, ethanol production and use has been partly sustained by ethanol exports, as declining gasoline use and limits to blending ethanol have curbed domestic use.

  • Wheat Outlook: May 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12E, May 14, 2012

    The 2012/13 outlook for U.S. wheat is for larger supplies and use, but lower prices. All wheat production is projected at 2,245 million bushels, up 12 percent from last year's weather-reduced crop and the highest since 2008/09.

  • Wheat Outlook: April 2012

    Gary Vocke and Olga Liefert

    WHS-12D, April 12, 2012

    USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), in its March 31 Prospective Plantings, reported that all-wheat planted area for 2012 is forecast at 55.9 million acres, up 3 percent from the 2011 all-wheat planted area.