Agenda

Emerging Issues in Global Animal Product Trade

Day 1

8:30 a.m.: Continental breakfast and registration

9:00 a.m.: Welcome, introductions

Mary Bohman, Administrator, USDA, Economic Research Service, Neil Conklin, President, Farm Foundation, NFP, and Norbert Wilson, Auburn University-S-1043 representative

9:30-10:15 a.m.: Morning keynote address

Sharon Bomer Lauritsen, Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Agricultural Affairs and Commodity Policy

Theme: How free trade agreements affect global meat, poultry, and dairy trade

Discussion, Q&A

10:15-10:30 a.m.: Morning break

10:30 a.m.-Noon: Session I - Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and Global Meat, Poultry, and Dairy Trade

Topics to be covered:

• Importance of FTAs to trade in animal products
• Outlook for U.S. exports to Colombia, Korea, and Panama
• The pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and U.S. exports
• The significance of Japan, Canada, and Mexico as TPP member countries

Discussion, Q&A

Speakers:

• Dylan Daniels, USDA Foreign Agriculture Service, Washington, DC
• Brett Stuart, Global AgriTrends, Denver, CO
• Ted Bilyea, Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute, invited
• Guillermo Maynez Gil, Consejo Mexicano de la Carne
• Japan representative, TBD

Noon-1:00 p.m.: Lunch (catered)

1:00 -2:30 p.m.: Session II - Industry Panel: Importance of Free Trade Agreements in Expanding Market Access for U.S. Meat, Poultry, and Dairy Exports

Industry panel:

• Tom Suber, President U.S. Dairy Export Council
• Kevin Brosch, Trade Counsel, USA Poultry & Egg Export Council
• Alfred Breuer, International Affairs Manager, Nat'l Pork Producers Council
• Chandler Keys, JBSSA

2:30-2:45 p.m.: Afternoon break

2:45 -4:15 p.m.: Session III - Free Trade Agreements and Technical Trade Barriers

Topics to be covered:

• Animal diseases and international trade
• Outbreaks and global market volatility
• Technical trade barriers and animal product trade
• The role of FTA's is reducing technical trade barriers

Speakers:

• Daniel A. Sumner, University of California, Davis, invited
• Jason Grant, Virginia Tech
• Thad Lively, Senior Vice President, U.S. Meat Export Federation
• Dr. John Clifford, Chief Veterinary Officer, APHIS, USDA

Discussion, Q&A

4:15 p.m.: Closing remarks and adjourn, Day 1

Day 2

8:30 a.m.: Continental breakfast and registration

9:00-10:20 a.m.: Selected Papers Breakout Session I

Emerging Issues in BRIIC Countries

• Productivity and Efficiency of the Brazilian Beef Industry: Constanza Valdes, USDA, Economic Research Service; Jose Gasques, Ministry of Agriculture, Brazil
• Demand Growth for Animal Products in BRIIC Countries: David Abler and Danhong Chen, Pennsylvania State University
• Meat Demand in Urban China: the Role of Increasing but Missing Dining Out Consumptions: Junfei Bai, Chinese Center for Agricultural Policy, Beijing; Thomas I. Wahl, North Dakota State University; James Seale, Jr., University of Florida

Beef Production and International Trade

• Simulation of Price Variation in the U.S. Beef Industry, 1970-2009: Jean-Claude Bizimana, Texas AgriLife Research; James W. Richardson and David P. Anderson, Texas A&M University
• Mexican Beef and Cattle Production and Trade: Current Situation and Implications for Coming Years: Derrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University
• Restrictions in Export Markets for Brazilian and U.S. Beef: John N. Giamalva, U.S. International Trade Commission

10-20-10:35 a.m.: Morning break

10:35 a.m.-11:55 a.m.: Selected papers breakout session II

Impacts of Volatility and Regulations on the Gravity of Animal Product Trade

• Trade Creation and Diversion Effects of Selected Bilateral and Regional Free Trade Agreements and Exchange Rate Volatility in the Global Meat Trade: David Karemera, Dept. of Economics and Louis Whitesides, South Carolina State University; Won Koo, Dept. of Agribusiness and Applied Economics, North Dakota State University
• The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on World Poultry Trade Flows: Christopher G. Davis, Andrew Muhammad, and David Harvey, USDA, Economic Research Service; David Karemera, South Carolina State University
• The Differential Effects of Food Safety Regulations on Fish Products: Nhuong Tran, The WorldFish Center; Norbert Wilson, Auburn University

Sanitary and Food Safety Issues in Animal Product Trade

• The Impact of BSE on U.S. Exports of Beef and Pork; William F. Hahn and Fawzi Taha, USDA, Economic Research Service
• Economic Analysis of MERCOSUR's Integration into the "Foot-and-Mouth (FMD) Free Status" Red Meat Market: Pierre Charlebois, Carole Gendron, Paul Lirette, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
• Does Country-of-Origin Labeling Function as a Food Safety Cue in Beef and How Much Does It Matter?: Kar H. Lim, Wuyang Hu, Leigh J. Maynard, University of Kentucky; Ellen Goddard, University of Alberta

12:00-1:00 p.m.: Lunch (catered)

1:00-2:20 p.m.: Selected papers breakout session III

Issues in Global Dairy Trade

• Spatial Price Transmission of Milk Soaring Prices from Global to Domestic Markets: Evidence from Panama: Alejandro Acosta, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; Miguel Robles, International Food Policy Research Institute
• What does U.S.-South Korean Free Trade Agreement Mean for South Korean Dairy Product Import?: Don P. Blayney and Keithly Jones, USDA, Economic Research Service
• Vertical Price Transmission of Milk Prices: Are Small Dairy Producers Efficiently Integrated into Markets?: Alejandro Acosta, Alberto Valdes, and William Foster, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Meat Production and Trade in the United States

• U.S. Livestock Production under Climate Change: Implications for International Trade: Robert Beach, Yuquan W. Zhang, and Justin Baker, RTI International; Amy D. Hagerman, USDA, Economic Research Service; Bruce A. McCarl, Texas A&M University
• Analyzing the Impact of Country-of-Origin Labeling (COOL) on U.S. Import Demand for Meat Products: A Source Differentiated AIDS Modeling Approach: Cephas Naanwaab, Osei Yeboah, and Saleem Shaik, North Carolina A&T

2:20 p.m.: Adjourn