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U.S. 2025/26 Rice Production Forecast Is Lowered 4 Percent to 205.0 Million Hundredweight
There are several revisions this month on both the supply side and use side of the U.S. 2025/26 rice balance sheet. On the supply side, the 2025/26 production forecast is lowered 9.4 million hundredweight (cwt) to 205.0 million, a result of a smaller harvested area. The harvested area estimate is lowered 121,000 acres to 2.647 million based on a USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) survey of growers conducted in early June. The 2025/26 carryin is raised 1.5 million cwt to 47.0 million due to lower total use in 2024/25. These two revisions lowered total supplies 7.9 million cwt to 302.7 million. On the 2025/26 use side, total domestic and residual use is reduced 4.0 million cwt to 165.0 million and total exports are lowered 2.0 million cwt to 93.0 million. Both reductions are for long grain. Combined, these supply and use revisions lowered the 2025/26 ending stocks forecast 1.9 million cwt to 44.7 million cwt.