USDA Economic Research Service Data Sets
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Data Sets

Agricultural Trade Multipliers: ERS Estimates

ERS Trade Multipliers (Open Model)

These categories contain agricultural or agriculturally derived products. (For example, “Buttons, pins, and all other miscellaneous” includes feathers.) They are listed by stage of processing as reflected in the North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS), 2002 NAICS Codes and Titles.

Note: It is not appropriate to sum multipliers to derive a multiplier for a group of product categories. Please use the Calculator  for this purpose. You will be able to group these categories and calculate a multiplier for the aggregate.

To estimate the effect on the economy from a given value of agricultural exports, multiply the employment multiplier times that export value. The result equals total employment generated by exports. Alternatively, the output multiplier times the export value equals total output generated by exports.

2006 ERS trade multipliers (open model)

CommodityProducer employment multiplierPort employment multiplierProducer output multiplierPort output multiplier
  (Jobs/billion $ export value)(Jobs/billion $ export value)($ total economic output/$ export value)($ total economic output/$ export value)
Soybeans14,81415,3352.152.69
Other oilseeds6,56010,2602.152.69
Wheat18,31512,2642.652.32
Rice17,88512,1042.692.35
Corn18,52312,3382.642.32
Other feed crops5,7438,0172.642.32
Vegetables and melons11,4669,3492.211.90
Tree nuts18,74711,0142.581.80
Fruits18,90710,3582.791.91
Greenhouse and nursery products15,71612,0141.671.71
Tobacco19,41516,3352.122.37
Cotton13,75719,0082.483.18
Sugarcane and sugar beets 29,81617,0282.952.54
All other crops12,65110,8682.572.41
Cattle28,85618,2993.863.27
Poultry and eggs25,02016,3103.173.05
Animal production, except cattle, poultry, and eggs28,14216,3783.713.17
Forest nursery, forest and timber tract products11,42916,1432.302.35
Fish17,1869,9552.282.27
Dog and cat food4,2559,4783.463.10
Other animal food 4,12410,0443.423.13
Flour milling products2,3089,3693.152.83
Rice milling products2,3349,6513.202.94
Malt 2,3198,3973.352.71
Wet corn milling products2,2648,8373.152.83
Processed soybean products2,56210,4163.332.90
Other oilseed products2,48110,5953.272.83
Fats and oils refining and blending products2,7639,7373.673.13
Breakfast cereal 2,9188,8213.122.64
Sugar 4,33510,1353.782.88
Confectionery products from cacao beans7,3148,7152.942.45
Nonchocolate confectionery products7,1097,4492.652.15
Frozen food products7,9608,7832.922.34
Dried and canned fruit and vegetable products6,5598,1752.972.34
Fluid milk 6,05413,2033.963.33
Creamery butter 3,96911,2154.083.17
Cheese4,14613,1354.273.49
Dry condensed and evaporated dairy products3,3129,5293.402.72
Ice cream and frozen dessert6,7519,3243.262.68
Animal (except poultry) slaughtering6,92615,6354.383.58
Meat processed from carcasses9,69613,7334.063.41
Rendering and meat byproducts8,31911,3143.513.00
Processed poultry products13,41614,0523.532.98
Frozen cakes and other pastries14,4369,5952.872.21
Bread and bakery products (except frozen)11,69110,2642.331.96
Cookies and crackers6,4226,9512.532.12
Mixes and dough made from purchased flour7,5148,0022.952.41
Dry pasta products6,8186,9492.582.01
Roasted nuts and peanut butter5,4129,2502.992.45
Other snack foods 4,8937,1392.622.14
Coffee and tea 5,07510,0933.332.64
Flavoring syrups and concentrates 3,3304,7442.111.79
Mayonnaise dressings and sauces4,7097,1762.992.46
Spices and extracts4,0306,7932.552.07
All other food products4,9439,0003.122.63
Soft drinks and ice6,0127,4263.102.48
Brewery products2,1145,5362.431.93
Wines2,4176,9112.842.25
Tobacco stemming and redrying products1,6486,3384.052.16
Other miscellaneous textile products13,03311,7572.842.58
Other basic organic chemical products1,6776,5953.723.17
Pharmaceutical and medicine products3,4465,7012.342.02
Adhesive products5,6087,5483.102.60
Surface active agents4,3927,1223.633.11
Other miscellaneous chemical products5,8217,6193.102.48
Rubber and plastic hoses and belting 10,5099,0272.702.40
Buttons, pins, and all other miscellaneous11,9799,5122.602.20
Scrap09,3552.842.36
Rest of the world adjustment to final uses000.000.00

 

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For more information, contact: William Edmondson

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Updated date: October 11, 2007