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Farm Income and Costs: Farm Sector Income Forecast

Value-added to the U.S. economy by the agricultural sector via the production of goods and services, 2005-2009F
       
United States

Component accounts 1/
2005
2006
2007
09/27/09 2008
11/24/09
2009F
1999-2008 average
Change 2008
to
2009
   
$ billion
  Value of crop production 114.4 118.9 150.9 182.5 164.2 117.8 (18.3)
   Food grains 8.6 9.1 13.4 20.7 14.5 9.5 (6.2)
   Feed crops 24.6 29.4 42.3 62.0 49.7 29.6 (12.3)
   Cotton 6.3 5.6 6.5 5.7 3.3 5.0 (2.4)
   Oil crops 18.4 18.5 24.6 31.2 31.7 18.4 0.5
   Fruits and tree nuts 17.2 17.3 18.5 18.9 17.4 14.6 (1.4)
   Vegetables 17.2 18.0 19.3 20.4 21.0 17.1 0.6
   All other crops 23.8 24.5 25.3 24.2 26.0 22.9 1.8
   Home consumption 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ (1.7) (3.6) 0.9 (0.7) 0.4 0.5 1.1
  Value of livestock production 126.5 119.4 138.5 139.7 117.4 114.8 (22.4)
   Meat animals 64.8 63.7 65.1 64.7 57.2 57.7 (7.5)
   Dairy products 26.7 23.4 35.5 34.8 23.9 25.8 (10.9)
   Poultry and eggs 28.8 26.7 33.1 36.8 32.6 26.9 (4.2)
   Miscellaneous livestock 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.5 (0.0)
   Home consumption 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 (0.0)
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ 1.3 0.5 (0.3) (1.7) (1.4) (0.3) 0.3
  Revenues from services and forestry 33.0 37.2 37.1 42.6 41.1 31.3 (1.5)
   Machine hire and customwork 2.8 2.6 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.6 (0.1)
   Forest products sold 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.0
   Other farm income 10.7 13.2 12.9 16.0 17.6 11.4 1.6
   Gross imputed rental value of farm dwellings 18.8 20.6 20.8 22.9 19.8 16.4 (3.0)
  Value of agricultural sector production 274.0 275.4 326.5 364.9 322.7 263.9 (42.2)
less: Purchased inputs 144.2 153.7 183.4 201.4 186.0 144.0 (15.5)
   Farm origin 57.1 61.1 73.4 79.5 76.7 57.2 (2.8)
     Feed purchased 28.0 31.4 41.9 46.9 43.4 30.4 (3.5)
     Livestock and poultry purchased 18.7 18.6 18.8 17.5 16.1 16.8 (1.4)
     Seed purchased 10.4 11.0 12.6 15.1 17.2 10.0 2.1
   Manufactured inputs 35.4 37.5 46.3 55.0 44.2 34.8 (10.8)
     Fertilizers and lime 12.8 13.3 17.7 22.5 16.3 12.8 (6.2)
     Pesticides 8.8 9.0 10.5 11.7 12.1 9.1 0.4
     Petroleum fuel and oils 10.3 11.3 13.8 16.2 11.1 9.3 (5.1)
     Electricity 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.5 4.7 3.6 0.1
   Other intermediate expenses 51.6 55.2 63.7 66.9 65.0 52.0 (1.8)
     Repair and maintenance of capital items 11.9 12.5 14.3 14.8 14.5 12.0 (0.4)
     Machine hire and customwork 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.9 (0.2)
     Marketing, storage, and transportation expenses 8.9 9.1 10.3 10.1 9.9 8.3 (0.2)
     Contract labor 3.1 3.0 4.4 4.7 4.8 3.3 0.1
     Miscellaneous expenses 24.3 27.1 30.8 33.2 32.0 24.6 (1.2)
plus: Net government transactions 15.8 6.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 8.9 (0.2)
+  Direct Government payments 3/ 24.396 15.789 11.903 12.238 12.5 17.3 0.2
-  Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0
-  Property taxes 8.0 9.0 10.3 10.7 11.1 7.9 0.4
  Gross value added 145.6 127.9 144.1 164.4 137.4 128.7 (26.9)
less:  Capital consumption 24.9 26.2 27.1 28.7 29.1 23.3 0.4
  Net value added 120.7 101.7 117.0 135.7 108.4 105.5 (27.3)
less:  Payments to stakeholders 42.0 43.2 46.1 48.6 51.3 42.2 2.7
     Employee compensation (total hired labor) 20.5 21.2 24.0 24.9 25.7 20.3 0.8
     Net rent received by nonoperator landlords 8.9 7.6 7.0 9.3 10.5 8.7 1.2
     Real estate and nonreal estate interest 12.6 14.4 15.1 14.5 15.1 13.3 0.7
  Net farm income 78.7 58.5 70.9 87.1 57.0 63.2 (30.0)
F = forecast. P = preliminary. na = not applicable. ( ) = negative number. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
1/ Final sector output is the gross value of the commodities and services produced within a year. Net value-added is the sector's contribution to the National economy and is the sum of the income from production earned by all factors-of- production. Net farm income is the farm operators' share of income from the sector's production activities. The concepts presented are consistent with those employed by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).
2/ A positive value of inventory change represents current-year production not sold by December 1. A negative value is an offset to production from prior years included in current-year sales.
3/ Government payments reflect payments made directly to all recipients in the farm sector, including landlords. The nonoperator landlords, share is offset by its inclusion in rental expenses paid to these landlords and thus is not reflected in net farm income or net cash income.

 

See all forecast tables.

 

For more information, contact: Roger Strickland

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: November 24, 2009