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Briefing Rooms

Global Resources and Productivity: Questions and Answers

Data and Methods

Wiebe et al. (2000) examined the impact of resource quality on the productivity of agricultural land, using for the first time recent global data on soils, climate, and land cover. They began with data developed by Hari Eswaran and others at USDA's Natural Resources Conservation Service, who combined the Food and Agriculture Organization's Digital Soil Map of the World and associated soil characteristics (e.g. slope, depth, and salinity) with spatially referenced long-run average temperature and precipitation data to establish nine land quality classes in terms of their suitability for agricultural production.

Wiebe et al. (2000) then overlaid these land quality classes with political boundaries and global land-cover data generated by the U.S. Geological Survey from satellite imagery with a resolution of one kilometer. They focused on cropland areas identified according to the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme land cover classification scheme. The result is a land quality indicator based on the share of each country's cropland that is found in the three best quality classes. Countries where this share exceeds the median value for their region are identified as having good soils and climate; those with less than the median are identified as having poor soils and climate.

This static measure, based on cross-country differences in inherent soil and climate characteristics, supplements existing time-variant quality indicators such as the percentage of agricultural land that is cropped (or irrigated) and long-term average or annual rainfall. To better capture this last effect, we also developed a high-resolution measure of annual rainfall by aggregating and overlaying monthly precipitation data on a 0.5-degree grid from the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit with national boundaries and cropland as described above. The result is a country-specific, time-variant measure of annual rainfall on cropland.

The dependent variable in our analysis is the productivity of agricultural labor, measured as the value of total agricultural production (the sum of price-weighted quantities of all agricultural commodities, expressed in international dollars, after deductions for feed and seed) per agricultural worker. Other variables are drawn from the Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Bank, and include country-level indicators of agricultural land, tractors, livestock, and fertilizer, as well as measures of the quality of labor, the institutional environment, and infrastructure. The data are combined in an econometric analysis of 110 countries over the period 1961-97. Additional detail is provided in Wiebe et al. (2000).

To estimate yield impacts of soil erosion, we used data from 90 original field studies that report quantitative yield results from experiments conducted in the United States and Canada between 1939 and 1999. Mean erosion-induced yield declines were estimated for each crop and soil order.

The total production decline resulting from erosion on the soils considered here was estimated by multiplying area and annual yield loss per hectare and summing across soil orders for each crop in the United States and Canada.

To further aggregate impacts across crops, we multiplied these annual production loss estimates by USDA baseline price projections for 2000 (USDA) to estimate the total gross economic value of erosion-induced loss of production. Additional detail is available in den Biggelaar et al. (2001).

 

For more information, contact: Keith Fuglie

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Updated date: December 10, 2002