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Briefing Rooms

Farm Household Economics and Well-Being:
Income Forecast and Income in Perspective

Contents
 

This chapter presents the latest household income forecast for 2008 and estimate for 2007, income estimates for earlier years, the composition of farm household income, and comparisons of income for farm households relative to other U.S. households. Estimates and forecasts of farm operator household income are based on data from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS). Income of farm operator households presented in this briefing room differs from other farm income estimates of the farm sector or of farm businesses. In particular, principal farm operator households receive income from a variety of sources other than their farm businesses, such as wages and salaries from off-farm jobs, other businesses, dividends and interest, and other public and private sources that are included here but not in the farm sector accounts. Key points in this chapter include:

  • In 2008, average farm operator household income is projected to be $89,434, up 6.3 percent from 2007, and 19.2 percent above the 5-year average of 2002-06.
  • The increase in income is the result of increases in both farm and off-farm sources. The large increase in farm earnings from 2007 was primarily the result of continued growth in cash grain and soybean receipts.
  • In 2007, average farm operator household income is estimated to be $84,159, up 8.4 percent from 2006.
  • Average farm household income was 16.7 percent higher than U.S. average household income in 2006 (the last year for which comparable data exist). In the 15 major agricultural States surveyed in ARMS, average farm household income exceeded the State average household income in every State.
  • Farm operator household income is more variable than U.S. household income, and a larger share of farm households have negative income. Over the last 10 years, 5-6 percent of farm households had negative income, compared with 1 percent of U.S. households.
  • Average household income varies considerably across farms, by farm typology (based on gross sales and major occupation of the principal operators), farm commodity specialization, and geographic location.

Farm Operator Household Income Up in 2008

In 2008, average farm household income is projected to be $89,434, up 6.3 percent from 2007, and 19.2 percent above the 5-year average of 2002-06 (see table). Average off-farm income of $75,805 in 2008, up 4.6 percent from 2007, accounts for nearly 85 percent of the average farm operator household's income.

The average income of households from farm earnings is forecast to be $13,629 in 2008, up from 2007's estimated average of $11,721. As always, a variety of factors determine changes in farm income, chiefly large increases in the forecast value of cash grain and soybean receipts from 2007 to 2008. In fact, the value of crop production is forecast to be at record highs in 2008. While expenses have increased (especially for feed, seed, fertilizer, chemicals, fuel, and utilities), the large increase in the value of cash grain and soybean sales should result in significantly higher in farm earnings for the average farm household.

The 2008 income forecast for farm operator households varies significantly across the population. A useful way to capture the diversity is to categorize households based on the principal operator's major occupation and the farm's level of gross sales (see farm typology). Commercial farm households (7.8 percent of family farms) rely more on farm income than other farm households. With farm income contributing 73 percent of total income, operators of these farms are projected to average $229,920 in household income in 2008, a 9.3-percent increase over 2007 (see table).

Operator households of intermediate family farms (27.5 percent of family farms) receive a much smaller share of their household income from farm sources than do commercial farm households. With farm income contributing 16.5 percent of total income, total household income for intermediate family farms is forecast at $63,604 in 2008, up 7.4 percent from 2007.

Most U.S. family farms (64.7 percent) are classified as rural residence farms. These farms produce less than $250,000 in products, and the major occupation of their operators is not farming. Rural residence farm households receive little or no income from farm sources. The total household income of rural residence farm operators is forecast to reach $83,443 in 2008, an increase of 4.9 percent from 2007.

Operators of commercial farms have highest and most variable average household d

This briefing room chapter provides information on farm operator household incomes, with links to tables providing data from 2002 to 2008F grouped by:

To place the current average farm operator household incomes in perspective, the following are also provided:

See the glossary for definitions of terms.

Farm Typology

The nearly two-thirds of farm households classified as rural residence households receive virtually all their income from off-farm income sources. On average, they reported losing money from farming activities in 2007. In fact, their farm incomes have declined in recent years. These farms typically generate little gross income from the sale of farm products, government payments, or other farm-related sources. Based on an expanded farm typology, incomes of both retirement and residential farm households are forecast to increase in 2008 due to increases in off-farm income (see table). Household incomes of residential farms are usually higher than those of retirement farm households. Retirement farm households are less likely than residential farms to lose money farming but receive significantly less income from off-farm sources.

Average income of farm households by typology, 2008 d

Operators of farming occupation/lower sales farms are projected to realize almost all of their income from off-farm sources in 2008. Since their off-farm income is projected to increase by 4.6 percent during 2008, their household incomes increased. In contrast, households with farming occupation/higher sales operations realize about half of their income from farming. With higher farm incomes expected in 2008, the average on farming occupation/higher sales farms is also expected to be higher than in 2007.

Large family farms are expected to see large increases in farm income in 2008, on average. Households with large farms are expected to average $159,163 in total income, an increase of 22.4 percent. Nearly 60 percent of total income is from farm earnings. At the same time, very large farms are expected to see little increase in farm income. Households with very large farms are expected to average $314,744 in total income, an increase of 2.7 percent. About four-fifths of total income is from farm earnings, but these very large farms tend to specialize in commodities other than cash grains and soybeans.

Farm Production Regions

In 2008, average operator household incomes are expected to be highest in the Pacific and lowest in the Northeast, a different ranking than in 2007 with average incomes the highest in the Pacific and lowest in the Delta (see table). Northern Plains households are expected to realize the largest increase in average household incomes at 15.3 percent in 2008, with Corn Belt households close behind at 14.7 percent. Farm households in the Northern Plains are expected to average the highest earnings from the farm, followed closely by farm households in the Corn Belt.

In 2008, more farm operator households (18.5 percent of all farm households) were located in the Corn Belt than in any other production region (see a map of the production regions and description). Farm household income in this region is expected to average $99,438 in 2008, 32.4 percent above the 2002-06 average.

Average farm household income by production region, 2008 d 20.824 54.981 13.629 22.645 47.162 3.773 18.934 56.231 20.045 17.627 52.608 29.203 17.946 47.074 30.147 21.632 51.557 8.251 21.92 51.035 3.746 14.689 54.162 6.109 27.581 64.689 -5.434 16.359 57.952 12.664 26.124 64.203 19.25

Commodity Specialization

A farm's specialization is determined by the 1 commodity or group of commodities that makes up at least 50 percent of the farm's total value of agricultural production (see glossary).

Farm household incomes are forecast to increase in 2008 for most specialities (see table). For the second consecutive year, cash grain and soybean farms are expected to experience large increases in household income. The operators of cotton farms are expected to experience their third consecutive year of declines in household income. These trends are all attributed to changes in income from farm sources.

More farms are classified as beef cattle operations (34.3 percent) than any other type of farm. Operators of beef farms consistently earn lower than average household income. They are expected to realize a 1.8-percent increase in household income in 2008. With little income from their farming enterprises, beef farm households rely primarily on income from off-farm sources.

In contrast, dairy farm households rely heavily on the farm for income, and they are expected to see a significant decline in their farm (-30.7 percent) and, hence, household income in 2008. Smaller declines in income are expected for hog and poultry farm households in 2008.

Distribution of Farm Household Incomes

Incomes of farm operator households vary widely. For example, in 2006, 6 percent of farm households had negative incomes and 7 percent had incomes of $200,000 or more. Many of the farm operator households that had negative incomes operated large farms which experienced heavy farm losses in 2006. Generally, as the income level of farm operator households increases, both average farm and off-farm income increase, as does the share of income from farming.

An average household income estimate for all farm operator households masks this great diversity in incomes. That is why many of the well-being indicators in this briefing room are provided in a variety of classification schemes. One way to illustrate this diversity of incomes is to chart the distribution of income, or the cumulative share of households whose income is less than or equal to a particular level. At the median, for example, 50 percent of households have less income and 50 percent have more. For farm operator households, average income exceeds median income because of the large share of high-income households in the population. In 2006, average (mean) farm income was $77,654, compared with a median of $54,835.

A cumulative distribution of 2006 household income by residence farms, intermediate farms, and large farms illustrates their different income performance. Households that operated residence farms were the least likely to have negative incomes and those that operated large farms were the most likely to have negative incomes. The distributions of income for residence and intermediate farm households were relatively similar. Their median 2006 household incomes were $58,268 and $41,467, respectively. More than 90 percent of these households had incomes under $200,000. In contrast, the median household income for operators of large farms was $98,888 in 2006, and about a quarter of them received more than $200,000 in household income.

Distribution of household income by family farm typology, 2006

The median income of farm households in 2006 was greater than for all U.S. households, but less than for just those U.S. households that included self-employed persons. Nevertheless, farm operator households are still more likely to have negative household incomes than either self-employed or all U.S. households.

Cumulative income distributions of farm, all U.S., and households with self-employment income, 2006 d

Farm Operators' Household Income Compared With U.S. Households

Since the 1980s, ERS has reported a money income measure for farm operator households comparable to U.S. Census Bureau's measure for all U.S. households. Farm household income is highly variable through the years, primarily due to the volatility of farm income. Nonetheless, for every year since 1996, average income of farm households has exceeded average U.S. household income. In fact, the off-farm income component (of average farm operator household income) alone has exceeded average U.S. household income from all sources since 1998.

Average farm operator household income, by source, compared to all U.S. household income, 1984-2008f d

A comparable income series is not available for earlier years, but USDA developed another series that compared the disposable personal incomes of farm and nonfarm residents for 1934-1983. This series shows that the current situation constitutes a reversal of the historical situation. The persistent low incomes of farm residents in earlier years helped to motivate government intervention in the farm sector. In 1934, the average per capita disposable income of farm residents was 33 percent that of nonfarm residents, approaching half by 1959. By the early 1970s, farm resident income was 70 percent or more of nonfarm incomes.

Per capita disposable  personal income of farm and nonfarm residents, 1934-83 d

Farm Operators' Household Income for 15 Principal Farming States

Starting in 2003, the sample size of USDA's Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS) has been large enough to allow for statistically reliable estimates of farm and operator household income in 15 major agricultural States. Previous surveys did not provide sufficient information to generate comparable estimates by States.

Family farms in California realized the highest average farm household income ($120,698) in 2006 (see table). They also realized the highest average farm income. High-value crop farms comprised more than half of California family farms, and crop production contributed about two-thirds of the State's total value of production. Farm operator households in California have average incomes above the average for all households in the State. But California is not unusual in that regard. Average income of farm operator households exceeds the average income of all households in each of the 15 States for which State-level estimates are available. Because high incomes can have a strong impact on averages of a population, we also compare the median incomes of farm operator households to all households in the State (see table). The median income of farm operator households in California was very similar to the median income of all California households in 2006 ($55,388 and $55,002, respectively).

Median income of farm operator households and all households, 2006 d

Missouri and Arkansas had the lowest average farm operator household income among the 15 States in 2006. Farm households in both States had below-average off-farm sources of income, and Missouri had low farm income as well. Farm operator households in four States—Florida, Iowa, Kansas, and Washington—had above-average farm and off-farm incomes in 2006. The average incomes of farm households in all four States, plus Texas, exceeded $85,000 in 2006.

Average household income varies by State, 2006 d

Composition of Operator Household Income

In 2006, earnings from farming constituted an estimated 10.8 percent of the average income of farm operator households. Sixty-five percent of income is considered earned off-farm income—most is earned from off-farm wages and salary jobs and the rest from nonfarm businesses (see table). Retirement and other transfer income makes up about 13 percent of household income, with most coming from public sources. Other important sources of income include interest and dividend income.

The sources of farm operator household income vary considerably across this very diverse population. Not surprisingly, larger farm households realized more income from farm sources than smaller farm households. The small farm households for whom farming is not the operator's major occupation (residential/lifestyle farms) have very high average earned off-farm incomes. Since 2004, their average off-farm incomes have exceeded $89,800, mostly from off-farm work.

Shares of income by source for average farm operator household, 2006 d

Many farm households that receive government payments operate large farms, and so receive a highest share of their household income from farming sources. Government payments cannot easily be described as a share of farm operator household income because payments and business farm income are sometimes shared by multiple households—more likely the case with larger farms—and because receipt of payments often requires that farms incur costs. For example, receipt of conservation payments often requires farms to incur costs to adopt conserving practices.

Sources of income for farm operator household by government farm payment, 2006 d

However, it is interesting to consider farm operator household income sources by the level of government payment. In 2006, 42.4 percent of family farms received government payments, and most of those received less than $10,000 in payments (see table). Households operating farms that received no payments actually averaged higher household incomes than farms that received less than $10,000 in farm payments. However, the farm operator households operating farms that received $10,000 or more in farm payments had above average household incomes, as a result of their greater farm incomes. Most farm payments are commodity-related payments rather than conservation payments. Generally, the farms with the highest payments also receive a higher share of their payments under commodity programs rather than conservation programs.

For more information, contact: Robert Green, Mary Ahearn, or Tim Parker

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: February 12, 2008