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Japan: Current Issues in Japanese Agriculture

Contents
 

The March 11, 2011 earthquake and tsunami

Japan suffered a severe earthquake on Friday, March 11, 2011, which triggered a large tsunami on the same day.  The earthquake affected much of northern Japan, but it was most severe in the eastern half of northern Honshu.  The tsunami caused widespread damage along the coasts of several prefectures in the region. 

Tables below provide information about agriculture in the prefectures most seriously affected by the natural disasters; about stock estimates for Japan; and about the nature and importance of U.S. agricultural exports to Japan.

The United States imported agricultural products worth $557 million from Japan in 2010, a fraction of the $82 billion in U.S. agricultural imports from all sources.  Among the largest categories of agricultural imports from Japan were miscellaneous horticultural products, such as mixed herbal teas, yeasts, and starches (potato, rice, etc.); grain and feeds (baked goods); and crude and natural drugs (enzymes). In addition, the United States imported fishery products worth $236 million from Japan in 2010, 1.6  percent of total U.S. fishery product imports.  Frozen processed fish was the leading import of all fishery product imports. Japan is the 12th largest exporter of fish to the United States.

Events are still unfolding, and it is too early to predict the effects of the earthquake and tsunami on international commodity markets and trade.

The earthquake was located in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Miyagi prefecture.  Prefectures to the north and south also suffered from the earthquake and resulting tsunami.  Data on agricultural output from these prefectures and the relative importance of the region to Japan’s total output are presented in Table 1.  The region produces about a fifth of Japan’s staple food, rice.  However, the disaster did not strike during the crop season, and the tsunami’s effect would have been felt only on producing areas near the coast.  As most rice production is located further inland, only a small portion of the prefectures’ rice area was directly affected.

Table 1--Agricultural and fishery output of northeast Japan's coastal prefectures
All Japan Aomori Iwate Miyagi Fukushima Ibaraki Sum, coastal prefectures Share of total (%)
Marine fishery catch, metric tons (2007) 4,396,826 157,844 150,434 265,619 98,716 196,566 869,179 19.8
Marine aquaculture, metric tons (2007) 1,242,112 102,091 61,501 127,338 1,532 NA 292,462 23.5
Agricultural output, 100 million yen (2007) 82,585 2,858 2,460 1,832 2,441 4,082 13,673 16.6
Crops output, 100 million yen (2007) 57,196 2,143 1,196 1,178 1,909 2,955 9,381 16.4
Vegetables, 100 million yen (2007) 20,893 680 276 273 551 1,538 3,318 15.9
Rice, metric tons (2008) 8,823,000 300,600 304,500 377,900 438,200 421,600 1,842,800 20.9
Soybeans, metric tons (2007) 261,700 6,720 6,130 16,800 4,860 7,190 41,700 15.9
Livestock & products, 100 million yen (2007) 24,787 714 1,265 651 525 1,058 4,213 17.0
Dairy cattle, head (2008) 1,533,000 15,100 50,700 26,100 19,500 32,200 143,600 9.4
Beef cattle, head (2008) 2,890,000 60,200 112,400 96,900 83,400 57,700 410,600 14.2
Pigs, head (2008) 9,745,000 402,800 425,400 221,800 200,400 631,700 1,882,100 19.3
Layers, 1,000 chickens (2008) 184,773 5,884 5,026 5,236 5,779 12,259 34,184 18.5
Broiler shipments, 1,000 chickens (2008) 629,766 38,228 98,668 11,074 6,120 6,540 160,630 25.5

Notes: NA= not applicable.

Source: Statistical Yearbook of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Japan, 2008-2009

Japan has commercial and government stocks throughout the year.  The estimates in the following table are of stocks at the beginning of the current marketing year.  Note that rice stocks are high in proportion to consumption—enough to feed the country for 2-3 months.

Table 2--Japan's stocks, current marketing year
Stocks at start of marketing year
Consumption Stocks/consumption Market year begins
1,000 metric tons
Percent
Rice
2,693
8,125
33
Nov. 2010
Wheat
1,312
5,850
22
Jul. 2010
Barley
439
1,550
28
Oct. 2010
Sorghum
117
1,600
7
Oct. 2010
Soybeans
89
3,692
2
Oct. 2010
Canola
80
2,196
4
Oct. 2010
Canola oil
14
908
2
Oct. 2010
Soy oil
9
485
2
Oct. 2010
Soy meal
286
4,004
7
Oct. 2010
Rapeseed meal
15
1,359
1
Oct. 2010
Beef
119
1,207
10
Jan. 2011
Pork
217
2,437
9
Jan. 2011
Broiler meat
116
2,020
6
Jan. 2011
Nonfat dry milk
58
182
32
Jan. 2011

Notes:  from USDA's Production, Supply and Disappearance database, accessed 3/17/11. http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdQuery.aspx

New estimates have been suggested in the Foreign Agricultural Service's Annual Grain and Feed Report on Japan: http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Grain%20and%20Feed%20Annual_Tokyo_Japan_3-10-2011.pdf and in the Foreign Agricultural Service's Semiannual Livestock and Products Report for Japan: http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Livestock%20and%20Products%20Semi-annual_Tokyo_Japan_3-4-2011.pdf

Japan relies heavily on imports for some foods and for the great majority of its animal feeds, and the United States is Japan’s largest foreign supplier.  Table 3 shows recent agricultural import levels in Japan and the share that came from the U.S.

Table 3--Agricultural imports of Japan, calendar year
2008
2009
2010
Metric tons
 Pork Total 817,691 702,938 753,027
From U.S. 336,913 288,667 298,347
U.S. share (%) 41 41 40
 Beef Total 458,024 481,136 499,531
From U.S. 54,109 69,192 91,618
U.S. share (%) 12 14 18
Poultry meat and offal Total 433,635 336,934 424,543
From U.S. 24,663 18,810 35,059
U.S. share (%) 6 6 8
 Corn Total 16,458,445 16,292,191 16,196,161
From U.S. 16,277,188 15,271,110 14,379,771
U.S. share (%) 99 94 89
 Wheat Total 5,780,711 4,702,565 5,475,586
From U.S. 3,658,265 2,839,897 3,305,142
U.S. share (%) 63 60 60
 Soybeans  Total 3,711,043 3,389,580 3,449,453
From U.S. 2,728,498 2,412,472 2,464,541
U.S. share (%) 74 71 71
Hay and alfalfa meal/pellets Total 2,418,581 2,319,058 2,352,121
From U.S. 1,674,577 1,616,793 1,689,045
U.S. share (%) 69 70 72
Sources:  Reports from FAS/USDA and Japan's Import statistics, reported in the World Trade Atlas.

Overall, Japan was the 4th largest destination for U.S. agricultural exports in 2010. Japan is the top destination for U.S. exports of corn and pork. It is also the second largest for wheat and the third largest for soybeans and beef.

Table 4--Japan's importance to major U.S. agricultural exports
2008
2009
2010
Product
Partner *
Metric tons
Corn World Total 53,737,407 47,501,791 50,735,249
Japan 15,121,468 15,130,892 15,491,268
Mexico 9,152,530 7,159,794 7,891,936
Korea, South 7,909,635 6,039,770 7,004,990
Egypt 2,438,333 2,272,827 3,614,659
Soybeans World Total 33,816,448 40,372,076 42,324,568
China 16,512,163 22,817,676 24,343,197
Mexico 3,550,054 3,281,264 3,586,832
Japan 2,814,529 2,501,086 2,551,119
Indonesia 1,257,138 1,483,650 1,849,843
Wheat, unmilled World Total 30,020,862 21,919,981 27,592,015
Nigeria 2,607,341 2,935,188 3,381,095
Japan 3,629,462 3,035,944 3,169,721
Mexico 2,804,365 1,921,255 2,433,924
Philippines 1,775,074 1,261,834 1,721,657
Pork World Total 1,566,814 1,397,873 1,437,071
Japan 425,313 400,456 403,238
Mexico 248,835 331,704 384,124
Canada 160,595 154,146 162,957
Korea, South 98,026 88,545 73,023
Beef  World Total 658,950 636,021 759,370
Mexico 242,529 201,770 159,951
Canada 141,712 130,625 139,746
Japan 69,271 81,264 105,346
Korea, South 53,738 52,511 101,816

Notes:  Data are for calendar years.  

* After World Total, this column lists the top 4 U.S. trading partners for each product.

Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. Data generated on Wednesday, March 16, 2011 at 9:32:25 AM EST.

The top agricultural and related commodities exported from the U.S. to Japan in 2010 were grains and oilseeds, meats and fish, tobacco products, frozen potatoes, and hay. The value and volume of these commodities are presented in table 5.

Table 5--Largest U.S. agricultural and related exports to Japan
2008
2009
2010
Rank, 2010
Product
1,000 US$
Metric tons
1,000 US$
Metric tons
1,000 US$
Metric tons
1 Corn 3,828,567 15,121,468 2,795,649 15,130,892 3,018,443 15,491,268
2 Pork, fr/froz 1,470,577 419,089 1,463,650 391,757 1,551,922 391,043
3 Soybeans 1,356,365 2,814,529 1,083,422 2,501,086 1,124,878 2,551,119
4 Other feeds & fodder 808,336 2,346,875 830,602 2,291,548 854,391 2,190,075
5 Wheat, unmilled 1,606,028 3,629,462 798,077 3,035,944 794,511 3,169,721
6 Beef & veal fr/froz 354,366 69,271 411,188 81,264 545,783 105,133
7 Fish, fr/prep 431,578 188,946 446,390 175,952 501,249 192,534
8 Tobacco - mfg 599,622
NA
347,065
NA
312,512
NA
9 Potatoes, froz 248,147 279,012 280,701 291,636 303,911 290,229
10 Rice 167,293 274,338 421,712 400,453 232,210 317,233
Other products 4,254,033
NA
3,512,354
NA
3,884,921
NA
Grand total 15,124,913
NA
12,390,808
NA
13,124,730
NA

Notes: NA= not applicable.

Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. Data generated on Wednesday, March 16, 2011 at 9:38:17 AM EST.

For more information, contact: John Dyck

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: March 22, 2011