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Briefing Rooms

India: Issues and Analysis

Contents
 

Oilseed Sector Policy and Market Structure
Market Access After the Removal of Quantitative Import Restrictions
Biotechnology Regulatory Policy
Economy-Wide Impacts of Domestic and Multilateral Reform
Wheat Sector Policy and Market Structure
Poultry Sector Policy and Market Structure
India’s Impact on U.S. and Global Cotton Trade
The Climate for Private Investment in Indian Agribusiness

Oilseed Sector Policy and Market Structure

India was the world’s largest importer of vegetable oil during the last 3 marketing years (2001/02-2003/04, October/September), ahead of the European Union and China. Developments in the oilseed and oilseed products sector are an important area of concern for both Indian policymakers and world commodity markets. The demand for oil, rather than meal, has been the key driver of the sector and, with relatively low annual per capita oil consumption of about 11 kilograms (24 pounds), there is broad scope for continued growth in vegetable oil consumption and trade. Policy interventions in the market have been substantial, including high tariffs on oil imports, prohibitive tariff- and nontariff barriers for oilseeds, and regulations restricting plant scale and technology use in domestic processing. Although the goal is to promote self-sufficiency and protect small farmers, current policies have corresponded with rising imports, limited production gains, inefficient processing and marketing, and heavy taxation of consumers. Future demand growth and changes in domestic and trade policies may have significant impacts on global oilseed and product markets.

Recent ERS research has examined policies and performance in India’s oilseed and oilseed products sector, and the extent to which more open trade policies for edible oils in the 1990s have affected price volatility in world and domestic markets. Ongoing research focuses on analysis of alternate scenarios examining the potential impacts of liberalization of imports of oilseeds and oils, and of increased processing and marketing efficiency in the oilseed and oilseed products sector, on Indian and global markets.

References

India's Edible Oil Sector: Imports Fill Rising Demand, ERS.
Managing Price Volatility in an Open Economy Environment: The Case of Edible Oils and Oilseeds in India, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC.

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Market Access After the Removal of Quantitative Import Restrictions

After nearly 50 years of restricting most agricultural imports with various quantitative restrictions (QRs), India began removing QRs in the mid-1990s and, by 2001, removed QRs for virtually all agricultural commodities. Although market access has improved and imports have increased, agricultural imports are still affected by an array of border and behind-the-border measures. Border measures include relatively high tariffs, and sometimes stringent sanitary and phytosanitary standards. Behind-the-border factors that constrain trade include domestic marketing regulations and fees, weak transport infrastructure, and a fragmented and inefficient domestic marketing system.

Recent ERS research has examined the role of border and behind-the-border measures for India’s two major farm imports, edible oils and pulses. Ongoing research will provide an indepth look at India’s market for apples, with an emphasis on the marketing system and costs for both domestic and imported apples.

References

India's Pulse Sector: Results of Field Research, ERS.
India's Edible Oil Sector: Imports Fill Rising Demand, ERS.
India's Poultry Sector: Development and Prospects, ERS.
National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers, Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, Washington, DC.
India Relaxes Restraints on Agricultural Imports, Agricultural Outlook, ERS.
Phase Out of Quantitative Restrictions, Government of India, Ministry of Commerce.

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Biotechnology Regulatory Policy

In the United States and some other parts of the world, agricultural biotechnology has allowed the development of innovative plant technologies that have reduced production costs and improved farmer incomes, enhanced quality attributes desired by end-users, and provided environmental benefits in the form of reduced pesticide use. In India, however, only one of the many available genetically modified (GM) genes—the Bt gene used in cotton—has been approved for cultivation by the Government of India. So far, the Government has been unable to build consensus for a more transparent, science-based regulatory framework to govern agricultural biotechnology, thus slowing the development and spread of new GM varieties, compared with some other countries.

Ongoing ERS research is studying the Indian regulatory system for GM crops, estimating the costs and benefits of GM crop adoption, and comparing these with estimates for other countries. The goal is to provide information to inform the public debate on regulation of agricultural biotechnology.

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Economy-Wide Impacts of Domestic and Multilateral Reform

India made major economic reforms in the early 1990s that stimulated stronger economic growth and reduced quantitative import barriers for farm and nonfarm goods, which led to faster growth in trade. Import tariffs, however, remain relatively high and domestic policy intervention remains significant, particularly in the agricultural sector, which was not included in the 1990s reforms. It has proven difficult to achieve political consensus on domestic and trade policy reform in agriculture because of the sector’s major contributions to income, employment, and consumer welfare. (For more information on India’s agricultural and agricultural trade policies, see the policy chapter.) High levels of support for agriculture in developed countries also make Indian policymakers cautious in considering either unilateral or multilateral reforms to agriculture.

Ongoing ERS research, using a global computable general equilibrium model, is examining the relative impacts on India of 1) unilateral domestic and trade policy reforms in agriculture and nonagriculture, and 2) multilateral domestic and trade policy reforms in agriculture and nonagriculture.

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Wheat Sector Policy and Market Structure

During the late 1990s, following decades of giving priority to achieving cereal self-sufficiency, India accumulated large government surpluses of wheat and rice and began to provide export subsidies to help reduce stocks. The surpluses stemmed from hikes in price supports and market prices, reduced distribution of cereals associated with new measures to better target consumer subsidies, and the ongoing diversification of consumer demand away from cereals. With the budgetary cost of subsidies to the cereal sector rising and per capita consumption declining, there is now a public debate on alternative policy options. Options being debated include shifting price incentives towards other crops, decentralizing procurement and distribution responsibilities to state governments, and reducing the role of the public sector Food Corporation of India in the market.

Current ERS studies are analyzing two aspects of India’s wheat economy. One is examining the supply, demand, and trade implications of alternative approaches for setting government support prices and for managing cereal procurement and distribution through the Public Distribution System. A second study is examining India’s wheat marketing system to provide estimates of marketing costs and the potential for gains in marketing efficiency.

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Poultry Sector Policy and Market Structure

India has one of the world’s largest and fastest growing poultry sectors. Rising incomes have driven increased consumer demand, while adequate domestic feed supplies and the spread of integrated poultry production have boosted supplies of low-cost poultry meat. The continued expansion of integrated production and availability of low-priced domestic or imported feeds are likely to be critical to the future growth of the industry, as well as to its international competitiveness. Recent ERS research studied the structure and growth of the Indian poultry industry, along with scenarios for its future growth.

Reference

India's Poultry Sector: Development and Prospects, ERS.

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India’s Impact on U.S. and Gobal Cotton Trade

India is among the world’s largest producers of cotton and textiles, but global competitiveness has been constrained by domestic regulation, and by trade restrictions under the internationally negotiated Multi-Fiber Agreement (MFA). With recent reforms to domestic policies and the phase out of MFA restrictions on December 31, 2004, India’s role in world cotton and textile trade could expand. Good quality raw cotton (free from trash and contaminates) is a prerequisite in producing high-quality textiles and being competitive in world markets. However, the International Textile Manufacturer’s Federation has found Indian cottons to be among the most contaminated in the world, suggesting that quality factors could limit India’s ability to expand trade in both cotton and textiles.

Ongoing ERS research is studying the progress and potential implications of reforms to India’s textile industry, and the extent to which the combination of domestic reform and the end of the MFA may lead to a significant change in India’s supply, demand, and trade of raw cotton. An additional ERS study will examine the role of quality characteristics in India’s cotton market, and the extent to which the quality needs of the textile sector can be met by domestic production, as opposed to imports.

Reference

The Forces Shaping World Cotton Consumption After the Multifiber Arrangement, ERS.

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The Climate for Private Investment in Indian Agribusiness

Despite faster growth and increased diversification in consumer food demand, available data suggest only sluggish growth in Indian farm output during the 1990s. Despite some gains in private domestic and foreign investment in agriculture in the 1990s, there is growing concern with the relatively low levels of both public and private investment in agricultural production, processing, and marketing. A number of factors have been identified that may be constraining private investment, including regulations governing domestic movement, storage, and marketing of major commodities, plant-scale restrictions in food processing, and restrictions on contract farming and land leasing.

Ongoing ERS research will attempt to provide an indepth analysis of the climate for domestic and foreign private investment in several agribusiness sectors, including oilseeds and oilseed products, fruit and vegetable processing, poultry integration, and wheat and flour marketing.

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For more information, contact: Maurice R. Landes or Suresh Persaud

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: April 18, 2005