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Agriculture Sector
Macroeconomy and Reforms
More Information
Key
Statistics
Map
With a population of just over 1 billion, India is the worlds
largest democracy and its second most populous nation, after China.
Since 1980, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has grown 5.7 percent
annually, making it the second fastest growing economy in the world
during that period (after China). Indias economy, as measured
by GDP, is Asia's third largest, after Japan and China. Although
economic growth has led to significant reductions in the incidence
of poverty, per capita GDP of about $450 continues to rank India
among the worlds low-income countries.

India's current population growth rate of 1.7 percent per year
has declined significantly from about 2.2 percent in the 1980s,
but India is still expected to overtake China as the worlds
most populous country in the coming decades. Although 72 percent
of Indias population remains rural and 60-70 percent of the
population relies primarily on agriculture for income and employment,
there is a clear trend towards urbanization. Middle class households,
accounting for about 200 million consumers, are the fastest growing
segment of the population and are having an increasing impact on
the growth and diversification of food demand. With about 55 percent
of household expenditures, on average, devoted to food, consumer
demand is highly responsive to both rising incomes and changing
relative prices.
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Agricultural Sector
India has a large and diverse agricultural sector, accounting
for about 25 percent of GDP and 14 percent of export earnings.
Arable
land area is the second largest in the world (after the United
States), and irrigated crop area is the largest in the world.
India is among
the top three global producers of a broad range of crops, including
wheat, rice, pulses (chickpeas, pigeon peas, lentils, dry peas,
etc.), cotton, peanuts, fruits, and vegetables. India has the
worlds
largest herds of buffalo and cattle, is the largest producer
of milk, and has one of its largest and fastest growing poultry
sectors.
India: Area, yield, and production of major
crops
(1999/00-2001/02 average)
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Cereals |
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Rice
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Wheat
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Coarse grains
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Pulses |
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Oilseeds |
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Cotton |
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Sugarcane |
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Source: Economic Survey, Government of India.
A strong agricultural resource base has allowed India to achieve
annual growth in farm output of about 3 percent since the early
1980s, substantially faster than population growth. Gains in wheat
and rice output have been particularly strong, allowing India to
achieve its key policy goal of self-reliance in cereals during the
1990s.
However, gains in farm output have slowed in the last decade, even
as the rest of the economy has strengthened. Yields of most major
crops remain well below world standards, as the development and
spread of high-yielding varieties, irrigation, and modern inputs
have been slow to spread beyond wheat and rice production. Despite
gains in irrigated area, nearly two-thirds of Indias cropland
remains dependent on seasonal monsoon rainfall. Major farm policiesincluding
price supports, input subsidies, and public sector researchhave
focused on the wheat and rice sectors and have been slow to adjust
to meet the needs of a stronger and more diverse domestic market,
as well as a competitive global market.
The combination of higher incomes, sluggish domestic production,
and more liberal import policies led to rapid growth in Indias
imports of pulses and edible oils in the 1990s. India is now the
worlds largest importer of pulses and, along with China, one
of the top edible oil importers. Despite slowing growth in farm
output, India remains a substantial net agricultural exporter. About
half of exports consist of traditional itemsincluding tea,
coffee, spices, fruits and nuts, and tobaccobut nontraditional
itemsincluding fish and meat products, rice, and soybean mealaccount
for the near doubling of farm exports during the 1990s. See the
trade chapter of this briefing room for
more information on Indias agricultural imports and exports.
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Macroeconomy and Reforms
From independence in 1947 until the late 1980s and early 1990s,
Indias economy was characterized by extensive central planning
and regulation of economic activity, including quantitative controls
on imports and exports that made India one of the most closed economies
in the world. Although private firms and markets existed in most
areas of the economy, public sector enterprises dominated many sectors.
Under this system, the economy registered relatively slow growth,
accumulated large fiscal deficits, and operated with a chronically
weak balance of payments stemming from uncompetitive domestic industries.
Although agriculture showed healthy growth during the 1970s, when
high-yielding cereals were introduced during the Green Revolution, the
farm sector has grown more slowly than other sectors and accounts
for a large, but declining, share of the overall economy.

In 1991-93, India introduced major reforms to industrial, trade,
and exchange-rate policy that led to Indias emergence as one
of the fastest growing economies. Since 1990, annual GDP growth
has averaged 5.6 percent and consumer price inflation has averaged
just 8 percent. In more recent years, growth and price stability
have been even stronger, contributing to a significant decline in
the share of the population in poverty.
The balance of paymentsthe balance of trade and capital flows
with the rest of the worldwere previously a chronic weakness
of the Indian economy, but have become robust. Trade liberalization
measures have included the near elimination of quantitative import
restrictions and state tradinga process completed in 2001.
Tariff reductions have been significant, although India retains
relatively high bound and applied tariffs on many sensitive goods.
Finally, the Indian rupee was put under a managed float system and
made fully convertible on the current (or trade) account in 1991,
leading to about 20 percent depreciation of the rupee since the
early 1990s. With less-restricted trade, less domestic regulation,
and rupee depreciation, Indian goods and services industries have
become more competitive, leading to rapid expansion of two-way trade
from under $50 billion in the early 1990s to over $100 billion in
the early 2000s. Foreign exchange reserves have climbed from under
$6 billion to more than $100 billion in the same time period.
Reflecting more market-oriented domestic and trade policies, the
inflow of foreign direct and portfolio investment to India has also
increased. Inflows from international investors, including nonresident
Indians, climbed from negligible levels in the early 1990s to almost
$6 billion annually in the early 2000s.
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More Information
Additional information on Indian economy and agricultural sector
are available from a number of sources:
- See the Government of Indias Economic
Survey for the latest economic data, including statistics
on agriculture.
- See the Government of Indias Ministry
of Agriculture, Department of Agriculture and Cooperation
website for information on agricultural programs and policies
and agricultural statistics.
- See USDA's Production,
Supply, and Distribution database for official USDA data on
production, supply, and distribution of field crop (grains, oilseeds)
and livestock products produced in India.
- See USDA Foreign Agricultural Services agricultural Attaché
Reports for current and historical reports on Indias
markets for major agricultural commodities.
- See the United Nations, Food and Agriculture Organization,
FAOSTAT
for agricultural production and trade statistics and food balances.
- See the Central Intelligence Agency's World
Fact Book for data on population, income, income distribution,
structure of the economy, and the role of agricultural in the
economy.
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