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Farm Income and Costs: Farm Sector Income Forecast

Value-added to the U.S. economy by the agricultural sector via the production of goods and services, 2007-2011F
 
United States

Component accounts 1/
2007
2008
2009
2010

2011F
2001-2010
average
Change
2010
to
2011
 
11/16/2011
$ billion
  Value of crop production 151.1 183.3 168.0 172.1 204.0 133.4 31.9
   Food grains 13.6 18.7 14.8 13.9 16.7 10.9 2.8
   Feed crops 42.3 58.6 50.6 52.5 69.6 35.6 17.1
   Cotton 6.5 5.2 4.0 6.3 8.2 5.2 1.9
   Oil crops 24.6 28.6 35.5 35.1 38.0 22.5 2.9
   Fruits and tree nuts 18.7 19.2 19.2 21.5 22.2 16.6 0.7
   Vegetables and melons 19.3 19.9 20.3 19.9 21.3 18.0 1.4
   Tobacco and All other crops 25.2 24.8 23.9 23.7 24.5 22.0 0.8
   Home consumption 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ 0.9 8.2 -0.4 -0.9 3.2 1.0 4.2
  Value of livestock production 138.4 140.4 119.8 140.7 164.1 121.4 23.3
   Meat animals 65.1 65.0 59.0 69.9 84.9 60.8 15.0
   Dairy products 35.5 34.8 24.3 31.4 39.4 27.0 8.1
   Poultry and eggs 33.1 36.8 32.4 35.5 36.2 29.2 0.8
   Miscellaneous livestock 4.9 5.0 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.5 0.1
   Home consumption 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ -0.4 -1.6 -0.7 -1.0 -1.7 -0.3 -0.7
  Revenues from services and forestry 38.1 42.0 42.7 39.5 42.2 34.6 2.7
   Machine hire and customwork 2.7 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.8 2.9 0.3
   Forest products sold 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.0
   Other farm income 14.2 17.7 17.3 14.1 15.1 12.9 1.0
   Gross imputed rental value of farm dwellings 20.6 20.5 20.7 21.2 22.7 17.9 1.5
  Value of agricultural sector production 327.7 365.7 330.6 352.3 410.2 289.4 58.0
less: Purchased inputs 184.3 202.9 190.0 192.6 223.1 158.5 30.5
   Farm origin 73.4 79.8 77.3 81.3 96.2 63.8 14.9
    Feed purchased 41.9 46.9 45.0 45.4 55.7 34.6 10.3
    Livestock and poultry purchased 18.8 17.7 16.7 19.6 23.1 17.5 3.5
    Seed purchased 12.6 15.1 15.5 16.3 17.4 11.7 1.1
   Manufactured inputs 46.3 55.0 49.0 49.5 58.9 39.1 9.5
    Fertilizers and lime 17.7 22.5 20.1 21.0 26.9 14.9 5.8
    Pesticides 10.5 11.7 11.5 10.6 10.7 9.6 0.1
    Petroleum fuel and oils 13.8 16.2 12.7 13.2 16.7 10.6 3.5
    Electricity 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.0 0.0
   Other intermediate expenses 64.6 68.1 63.8 61.8 67.9 55.6 6.1
    Repair and maintenance of capital items 14.3 14.8 14.7 14.8 16.3 12.8 1.6
    Machine hire and customwork 3.8 4.1 3.9 4.3 4.8 3.8 0.5
    Marketing, storage, and transportation expenses 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.3 11.0 8.9 0.7
    Contract labor 4.4 4.7 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.5 0.0
    Miscellaneous expenses 31.7 34.3 31.0 28.5 31.9 26.6 3.3
plus: Net government transactions 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 -1.9 6.1 -2.8
+  Direct Government payments 3/ 11.9 12.2 12.2 12.4 10.6 15.3 -1.8
-  Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1
-  Property taxes 10.3 10.7 10.4 10.8 11.8 8.7 0.9
  Gross value added 144.3 163.7 141.7 160.6 185.3 137.1 24.7
less:  Capital consumption 27.0 28.7 30.1 30.7 31.5 25.4 0.8
  Net value added 117.3 135.0 111.6 129.9 153.7 111.7 23.9
less: Payments to stakeholders 47.3 50.3 49.9 50.8 52.9 44.3 2.1
   Employee compensation (total hired labor) 24.5 25.3 25.0 23.7 23.3 21.7 -0.4
   Net rent received by nonoperator landlords 7.6 9.6 9.8 12.6 14.1 9.1 1.5
   Real estate and nonreal estate interest 15.1 15.4 15.2 14.5 15.4 13.5 1.0
  Net farm income 70.0 84.7 61.6 79.1 100.9 67.4 21.8
F = forecast. P = preliminary. na = not applicable. ( ) = negative number. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
1/ Final sector output is the gross value of the commodities and services produced within a year. Net value-added is the sector's contribution to the National economy and is the sum of the income from production earned by all factors-of- production. Net farm income is the farm operators' share of income from the sector's production activities. The concepts presented are consistent with those employed by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).
2/ A positive value of inventory change represents current-year production not sold by December 1. A negative value is an offset to production from prior years included in current-year sales.
3/ Government payments reflect payments made directly to all recipients in the farm sector, including landlords. The nonoperator landlords' share is offset by its inclusion in rental expenses paid to these landlords and thus is not reflected in net farm income or net cash income.
                 
Other statistics of general interest:
                 
  Cash receipts for all crops 150.1 175.0 168.3 172.9 200.6 130.9 27.7
  Cash receipts for all livestock & products 138.5 141.6 120.3 141.4 165.4 121.5 23.9
  Cash receipts for all commodities 288.5 316.7 288.6 314.4 365.9 252.4 51.6
                 
  Gross farm income 339.6 377.9 342.7 364.7 420.8 304.8 56.2
  Production expenses 269.5 293.2 281.1 285.6 320.0 237.4 34.4
  Net farm income 70.0 84.7 61.6 79.1 100.9 67.4 21.8

See all forecast tables.

 

For more information, contact: Timothy Park

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Updated date: November 29, 2011