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Briefing Rooms

Farm Income and Costs: Farm Sector Income Forecast

Value-added to the U.S. economy by the agricultural sector via the production of goods and services, 2004-2008F
  United States

Component accounts 1/
2004
2005
2006
2007P
2008F
1998-
2007
average
Change
2007 to
2008
 
02/12/08
$ billion
  Value of crop production 124.5 113.6 118.0 149.7 175.5 109.8 25.9
   Food grains 8.9 8.6 9.1 12.6 15.6 8.3 2.9
   Feed crops 27.4 24.6 28.0 40.9 58.1 25.4 17.1
   Cotton 4.8 6.3 6.2 5.9 6.2 5.0 0.3
   Oil crops 17.9 18.4 18.2 22.8 32.4 16.8 9.5
   Fruits and tree nuts 15.5 17.7 17.0 16.6 17.7 14.1 1.0
   Vegetables 16.2 16.9 17.9 20.8 19.6 16.7 (1.2)
   All other crops 21.5 22.3 22.4 24.2 25.1 22.2 0.9
   Home consumption 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ 10.7 (2.4) (2.0) 5.6 0.8 1.1 (4.8)
  Value of livestock production 124.4 126.4 120.1 141.8 139.0 110.6 (2.8)
   Meat animals 62.4 64.8 63.7 66.0 64.6 55.7 (1.4)
   Dairy products 27.4 26.7 23.4 35.5 34.8 24.7 (0.8)
   Poultry and eggs 29.5 28.9 27.5 35.1 34.4 25.8 (0.7)
   Miscellaneous livestock 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.3 0.1
   Home consumption 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
   Value of inventory adjustment 2/ 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) (0.1)
  Revenues from services and forestry 34.1 35.2 37.6 42.2 43.6 31.1 1.4
   Machine hire and customwork 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.1 2.5 0.2
   Forest products sold 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 (0.0)
   Other farm income 11.3 10.9 12.3 13.4 13.7 10.6 0.3
   Gross imputed rental value of farm dwellings 17.0 19.0 20.1 23.4 24.2 15.4 0.8
  Value of agricultural sector production 283.0 275.2 275.7 333.7 358.1 251.5 24.4
less: Purchased inputs 137.5 144.6 151.4 171.0 188.6 134.3 17.5
   Farm origin 57.5 56.9 59.8 69.5 76.0 53.2 6.5
    Feed purchased 29.7 28.0 30.5 38.1 45.0 27.8 6.9
    Livestock and poultry purchased 18.2 18.4 18.2 18.8 17.9 16.2 (0.9)
    Seed purchased 9.6 10.4 11.0 12.6 13.1 9.2 0.5
   Manufactured inputs 31.6 35.4 37.0 41.4 47.1 31.6 5.7
    Fertilizers and lime 11.4 12.8 13.3 16.0 19.0 11.4 3.0
    Pesticides 8.6 8.8 8.8 9.1 10.1 8.7 1.0
    Petroleum fuel and oils 8.2 10.3 11.1 12.4 14.0 8.1 1.6
    Electricity 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.4 0.2
   Other intermediate expenses 48.3 52.3 54.7 60.2 65.4 49.5 5.3
    Repair and maintenance of capital items 11.9 11.9 12.4 13.6 14.8 11.4 1.2
    Machine hire and customwork 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.1 3.9 0.3
    Marketing, storage, and transportation expenses 7.2 8.8 9.0 10.0 10.9 7.9 0.9
    Contract labor 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.4 2.9 0.2
    Miscellaneous expenses 22.4 25.1 26.8 29.6 32.2 23.3 2.6
plus: Net government transactions 5.4 15.8 6.2 1.9 3.2 9.4 1.2
+  Direct Government payments 3/ 12.970 24.396 15.789 12.0 13.4 17.4 1.4
-  Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0
-  Property taxes 7.0 8.0 9.0 9.5 9.6 7.4 0.1
  Gross value added 151.0 146.4 130.5 164.5 172.7 126.7 8.2
less:  Capital consumption 23.1 25.0 26.1 26.9 28.6 22.4 1.7
  Net value added 127.8 121.4 104.4 137.6 144.1 104.3 6.5
less:  Payments to stakeholders 41.9 44.3 45.4 48.9 51.8 43.2 2.9
    Employee compensation (total hired labor) 20.4 20.7 21.3 22.9 23.9 19.4 1.1
    Net rent received by nonoperator landlords 10.0 10.6 9.3 10.3 12.0 10.4 1.7
    Real estate and nonreal estate interest 11.4 13.0 14.7 15.8 15.8 13.4 0.1
  Net farm income 85.9 77.1 59.0 88.7 92.3 61.1 3.6
F = forecast. P = preliminary. na = not applicable. ( ) = negative number. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
1/ Final sector output is the gross value of the commodities and services produced within a year. Net value-added is the sector's contribution to the National economy and is the sum of the income from production earned by all factors-of- production. Net farm income is the farm operators' share of income from the sector's production activities. The concepts presented are consistent with those employed by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).
2/ A positive value of inventory change represents current-year production not sold by December 1. A negative value is an offset to production from prior years included in current-year sales.
3/ Government payments reflect payments made directly to all recipients in the farm sector, including landlords. The nonoperator landlords’ share is offset by its inclusion in rental expenses paid to these landlords and thus is not reflected in net farm income or net cash income.

 

See all forecast tables.

 

For more information, contact: Roger Strickland

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: February 12, 2008