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Nature is rural America's greatest
resource. At one time, its primary use was for
food, timber, and minerals. But the enjoyment
by vacationers, young families, and retirees is
now its major use in many areas. Forest Service
surveys show that over half of the U.S. population
age 16 and older spends time outdoors viewing
natural scenery in any given year.
Just as not all land is equally good for farming, not all nature is equally attractive to visit or inhabit. While researchers have developed several measures of the suitability of land for farming, they are only beginning to develop similar measures of the relative attractiveness of different outdoor settings.
ERS created a very basic scale of
natural amenities, including climate, topography,
and water (lakes, ponds, oceans)—all relatively
enduring characteristics. The scale includes four
measures of climate: average number of days of
sun in January, average January temperature, lowness
of average July humidity, and temperateness of
July weather. Temperateness is measured in such
a way that places with the warmest winters and
coolest summers score highest on the scale.
The topography measure was taken from
a 1937 National Geographic map, which
had 26 categories ranging from flat with no hills
to highly mountainous. The water measure is based
on the proportion of county area classified as
water by the Bureau of the Census. Because county
boundaries extend offshore, ocean front as well
as lakes and ponds are reflected in this measure.
The measure used in the scale is a relative (logarithmic)
measure. (For example, if County B has twice as
much water area per square mile as County A, the
difference in scores is the same whether County
A is 5 percent water or 25 percent water.)
These six characteristics do not tend
to be found together; often there are tradeoffs.
For instance, areas with more extensive surface
water tend to have more temperate climates than
their neighbors, but they also tend to have cloudier
Januarys and more humid Julys. The natural amenities
scale is designed to reflect these tradeoffs by
combining these characteristics into a single
scale. Statistical analyses of county population
data from 1970 to 1996 indicate that the scale
accurately reflects the overall relationships
between these characteristics and population change
during that period. These analyses and the methods
used to create the scale are described in an ERS
report, Natural
Amenities Drive Rural Population Change (AER-781).
The scale highlights the association
between natural amenities and population change
over the past 30 years. Counties at the high end
more than tripled their population on average
over the past 32 years, while counties at the
low end lost population. However, the scale is
useful in other ways as well. For instance, while
the number of farms in the U.S. has declined dramatically
over time, the number has actually risen in high-amenity
counties. There are a number of possible reasons
for this. For instance, counties with low scores
tend to be relatively flat and extensively farmed,
making farm consolidation relatively easy. At
the same time, given that people are drawn to
natural amenities, it is possible that there are
far more prospective farmers—even among
sons and daughters—in places where landscape
is varied, climate is pleasant, and population
and employment are growing.
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